Bet the Mortgage: Week 4, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 4, 2019

It’s not about winning all your bets – but you do have to win the big ones. Andy came close to doing that last week with the Kansas City game, but Lamar Jackson led a late comeback that killed the bet. That was a significant swing for him. Tony plugged along at a roughly even pace after going 4-0 in week two.

Week 3 W/L Week 3 $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 1-3 -$1,838 4-7-1 -$1,913 $8,087
Tony 2-2 -$66 8-4 $3,718 $13,718

 

And here we go again:

Andy: Lamar Jackson … harrummmph. That bet would have taken me into positive territory. Oh well. This mythical bankroll will be fine. (more…)

Alternative Pick: Week 4, 2019

Alternative Pick: Week 4, 2019

Oooh, some drama.

Usually you get a pretty good sense for which one of us is going to win this thing in the first few weeks, but this year we’ve switched off winning and the overall count is within three games. You can cut the tension with a knife.

Standings:

Week 3 Andy 10-6
Season Andy 25-22-1

(more…)

Is Eli Manning a Hall of Famer?

Is Eli Manning a Hall of Famer?



With Daniel Jones excelling last Sunday in his debut as the New York Giants starting quarterback, it likely cements – if there was any doubt – that Eli Manning’s days a the organization’s starter have ended.

And they’ve mostly been proud days. Manning has never been the best QB in the league, but he’s probably gone back-and-forth between the second- and third-tier at times, excelling, of course, twice on postseason runs that ended up with New York upsetting New England to win two of its Lombardi trophies.

The question, then, becomes does Eli follow in brother Peyton’s footsteps and try to find another team to hook up with at the end of his career for one or two more runs at postseason glory? Or does he decide that 16 seasons is enough. And, if he chooses the latter, will we be hearing from him again in five or 10 years as he prepares for a speech in Canton?

He’s a little bit of a tough one to assess. Does he have the counting stats? Perhaps. If he retired now, he’d do so as the seventh-ranked QB all-time in passing yardage, though barring injury, Philip Rivers likely will pass him up this season. (more…)

Bet the Mortgage: Week 4, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: NFL Week 3, 2019

Well, Tony had a good week. For the first time in at least 317 weeks, a Zoneblitz bettor had an undefeated week. Oh, yeah, Andy won some hypothetical pocket change too. It’s a bit odd here, where the normally self-indulgent segment has actually, through two weeks, proven a little bit profitable.

Week 2 W/L Week 2 $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Tony 4-0 +$3,375 6-2 +$3,784 $13,784
Andy 2-2 +$325 3-4-1 -$75 $9,925

 

Andy

Well, I’m down $75 for the season, which is almost like a tie, which is like … well, never mind. I’m happy Tony had a good week and I’m happy I’ve been close to having some good weeks, but come on. Breaking even is boring. Here we go.

$1,500 – Kansas City (-6, -105) vs Baltimore – The Ravens have beaten up on the Dolphins and hung on to squeak by Arizona. Lamar Jackson is looking good, but the Chiefs are the first real test of the season for Baltimore. I don’t think they can keep up.

$800 – Green Bay (-7.5, -105) vs Denver – Joe Flacco looks old. And bored. The Broncos have been bad. Green Bay looks just good enough on offense and much better on defense this season. This could be a letdown after a couple big divisional wins to start the year, but I’m not betting on it.

$800 – Philadelphia (-5.5, -110) vs Detroit – This game opened at -8.5, but the number has gone significantly toward Detroit. Why? The Eagles stumbled on the road against a motivated Atlanta team last week, but I don’t see much indication that Detroit is going to make a game of this game on the road.

$300 – Oakland (+345 money line) at Minnesota – Kirk Cousins usually plays well under the covered roof of a noon-time kickoff. So, this may be a long-shot. But the Raiders’ season has already been bizarre. The Antonio Brown saga seems to have left them with a chip on their shoulder that showed up in an opening week win against Denver and a hot start against Kansas City. They lost to the Chiefs, but Kansas City might win the Super Bowl. Minnesota isn’t that good. And this would be a lot less surprising than the shellacking Buffalo handed them in a similar situation last season.

 

Tony

Huh, I didn’t even look at how I was doing after week 1, and wouldn’t have known this week if Andy hadn’t told me–maybe completely ignoring my bets is the best way to go about this.

$500 – Dallas (-23, +105) at Miami – I’m not going crazy on the amount of the bet, with a 23 point spread–but there’s nothing so far this season that makes me think Miami will cover a spread at all.

$1,000 – Seattle (-4.5, -105) vs New Orleans – I’m not sure how this one opened with New Orleans as a two point favorite…unless it opened before Drew Brees hurt his hand. Not sure that Teddy Bridgewater can go on the road and hang with Russell Wilson, even if the Saints are probably the better overall team.

$1,000 – Baltimore at Kansas City: Over 52 (-110) – I found one book with it at -109, but I’ll keep it simple for the sake of Andy doing math. If the total line stays under 60 on this game, I’m sticking with the over.

$500 – Pittsburgh (+255 money line) at San Francisco – I don’t love Mason Rudolph’s chances, but they’re better than Joe Flacco’s chances of beating Green Bay, so I’ll take this upset. The 49ers still have a lot to prove, and Pittsburgh does still have James Conner, Juju Smith-Schuster and enough talent on defense to turn the tide.

Alternative Pick: Week 4, 2019

Alternative NFL Picks: Week 3, 2019

 

Let me tell you, the minutes that Andy and Tony spend studying these games before doing these picks has really been paying off so far this season. Especially for Tony, who won the week handily.

Here are the standings:

Week 2 Tony 10-6
Season Tony 16-15-1

 

And here are the picks for week 3:

1) Tony: Cowboys over Dolphins – The big advantage to picking first each week is getting to pick the Dolphins opponent.

2) Andy: Patriots over Jets – The Patriots look like they have for the last 15 years or so. The Jets look like they have less passion for playing football than we do for upkeep on a website.

3) Andy: Packers over Broncos – The Packers have adapted to the new coaching staff much more quickly than we’ve written a 2020 Hall of Fame post. Hopefully both of those things change soon. Denver has its hopes riding on another over-the-hill QB who looks bored. Maybe next year they can bring back Donovan McNabb.

4) Tony: Seahawks over Saints – I hope things go well for Teddy Bridgewater…I just don’t think things will go well for him. Tough first start back for him.

5) Andy: Eagles over Lions – Philadelphia let one get away against Atlanta last week. The Eagles will be playing mad. Detroit … yep, still Detroit.

6) Tony: Colts over Falcons – May have grabbed this game a little high, but refuse to touch the Vikings game, and after that it’s a dart toss. Just like what I;ve seen heard about the Colts since Jacoby Brissett took over. And didn’t like what I saw from the Falcons in week 1 that much, even if week 2 was a little better.

7) Andy: Vikings over Raiders – Minnesota should win this pretty handily. The game isn’t in prime time and Oakland isn’t that good, so Kirk Cousins should have a solid performance. Oakland … yep, still Oakland.

8) Tony: Bills over Bengals – I don’t exactly have faith in the Bills right now, but I’m pretty sure I know what the Bengals are capable of.

9) Andy: Chiefs over Ravens – This one is being billed as the game of the week. I don’t see it. Baltimore has had a softer opening two weeks than most college teams. This will be their first test. I think Kansas City wins handily.

10) Tony: Chargers over Texans – This should be a good game…hopefully I took the home team.  I mean, I could look it up, but…

11) Andy: Rams over Browns – I went through the whole offseason thinking Cleveland was going to run away with the AFC North. Good thing we also didn’t publish a preseason prediction post either.

12) Tony: Titans over Jaguars – We picked these games on Tuesday, and Andy tried posting them before the game tonight, but apparently my lack of maintenance was causing issues…and this pick didn’t age well. On the plus side…glad I didn’t accept any of those lame offers for DJ Chark last year.

13) Andy: Bears over Washington – Chicago hasn’t looked good. In fact, Mitch Trubisky looks like he’s taken a bigger step back than this blog has the last couple years. But Washington is worse.

14) Tony: 49ers over Steelers – Mason Rudolph might prove me wrong, but Steelers fans have to be a little worried with zero of the Killer B’s playing (for them) the rest of this year.

15) Andy: Cardinals over Panthers – Good gravy, who cares.

16) Tony: Buccaneers over Giants – The Giants made this one slightly more interesting by benching Eli Manning…although it’s still dumbfounding to me how much airtime that story has gotten this week. I mean, it’s not like a Hall of Famer got benched in week 3, right?  Right?

Tony has taken the lead in the straight-up picks, but it’s only by a game. Their solid results show the pride and passion they put into making these picks each week.

Here are the standings:

  Andy Tony
Week 2 10-6 11-5
Season 20-11-1 21-10-1

 

Here’s where the dart throws landed for week three:

Andy Tony
Cowboys Cowboys
Patriots Patriots
Packers Packers
Seahawks Seahawks
Eagles Eagles
Falcons Colts
Vikings Vikings
Bills Bills
Chiefs Ravens
Chargers Chargers
Rams Rams
Jaguars Titans
Bears Bears
49ers 49ers
Cardinals Cardinals
Buccaneers Buccaneers

 

Enjoy the weekend.

Alternative Pick: Week 4, 2019

Alternative NFL Picks: Week 3, 2019

 

Let me tell you, the minutes that Andy and Tony spend studying these games before doing these picks has really been paying off so far this season. Especially for Tony, who won the week handily.

Here are the standings:

Week 2 Tony 10-6
Season Tony 16-15-1

 

And here are the picks for week 3:

1) Tony: Cowboys over Dolphins – The big advantage to picking first each week is getting to pick the Dolphins opponent.

2) Andy: Patriots over Jets – The Patriots look like they have for the last 15 years or so. The Jets look like they have less passion for playing football than we do for upkeep on a website.

3) Andy: Packers over Broncos – The Packers have adapted to the new coaching staff much more quickly than we’ve written a 2020 Hall of Fame post. Hopefully both of those things change soon. Denver has its hopes riding on another over-the-hill QB who looks bored. Maybe next year they can bring back Donovan McNabb.

4) Tony: Seahawks over Saints – I hope things go well for Teddy Bridgewater…I just don’t think things will go well for him. Tough first start back for him.

5) Andy: Eagles over Lions – Philadelphia let one get away against Atlanta last week. The Eagles will be playing mad. Detroit … yep, still Detroit.

6) Tony: Colts over Falcons – May have grabbed this game a little high, but refuse to touch the Vikings game, and after that it’s a dart toss. Just like what I;ve seen heard about the Colts since Jacoby Brissett took over. And didn’t like what I saw from the Falcons in week 1 that much, even if week 2 was a little better.

7) Andy: Vikings over Raiders – Minnesota should win this pretty handily. The game isn’t in prime time and Oakland isn’t that good, so Kirk Cousins should have a solid performance. Oakland … yep, still Oakland.

8) Tony: Bills over Bengals – I don’t exactly have faith in the Bills right now, but I’m pretty sure I know what the Bengals are capable of.

9) Andy: Chiefs over Ravens – This one is being billed as the game of the week. I don’t see it. Baltimore has had a softer opening two weeks than most college teams. This will be their first test. I think Kansas City wins handily.

10) Tony: Chargers over Texans – This should be a good game…hopefully I took the home team.  I mean, I could look it up, but…

11) Andy: Rams over Browns – I went through the whole offseason thinking Cleveland was going to run away with the AFC North. Good thing we also didn’t publish a preseason prediction post either.

12) Tony: Titans over Jaguars – We picked these games on Tuesday, and Andy tried posting them before the game tonight, but apparently my lack of maintenance was causing issues…and this pick didn’t age well. On the plus side…glad I didn’t accept any of those lame offers for DJ Chark last year.

13) Andy: Bears over Washington – Chicago hasn’t looked good. In fact, Mitch Trubisky looks like he’s taken a bigger step back than this blog has the last couple years. But Washington is worse.

14) Tony: 49ers over Steelers – Mason Rudolph might prove me wrong, but Steelers fans have to be a little worried with zero of the Killer B’s playing (for them) the rest of this year.

15) Andy: Cardinals over Panthers – Good gravy, who cares.

16) Tony: Buccaneers over Giants – The Giants made this one slightly more interesting by benching Eli Manning…although it’s still dumbfounding to me how much airtime that story has gotten this week. I mean, it’s not like a Hall of Famer got benched in week 3, right?  Right?

Tony has taken the lead in the straight-up picks, but it’s only by a game. Their solid results show the pride and passion they put into making these picks each week.

Here are the standings:

  Andy Tony
Week 2 10-6 11-5
Season 20-11-1 21-10-1

 

Here’s where the dart throws landed for week three:

Andy Tony
Cowboys Cowboys
Patriots Patriots
Packers Packers
Seahawks Seahawks
Eagles Eagles
Falcons Colts
Vikings Vikings
Bills Bills
Chiefs Ravens
Chargers Chargers
Rams Rams
Jaguars Titans
Bears Bears
49ers 49ers
Cardinals Cardinals
Buccaneers Buccaneers

 

Enjoy the weekend.