Reviewing our Playoff Preview

As the playoffs begin I thought it would be a good idea to provide some accountability for our preseason selections by taking a look back at our playoff previews to see where we hit and what we missed.

You can find the playoff preview by clicking here. And at the bottom of that page, you can click on each of our individual division previews, should you desire.

I was surprised to see that I hit six of the eight division champions, including nailing all four in the AFC. Just as anyone does when making preseason projections, I also had a couple humbling picks, as well. I failed miserably, as did the rest of us at ZoneBlitz, in predicting the ascensions of Carolina in the NFC South and Philadelphia in the NFC East.

Tony hit five of eight division champs. His biggest miss was Houston – a reasonably excusable oversight, I think, since most thought the team would be pretty good and it’s hard to predict injuries. If you predicted a 2-14 season for the Texans heading into the season, I tip my cap.

Fantasy editor Anthony Maggio hit half of his predictions on division champs while contributing writers Tim Madsen and Rich Larson each hit three.

Again, the biggest misses across the board seemed to be not predicting that Philadelphia and Carolina would rise from the ashes to division titles and not seeing the falloffs in Houston, Washington and Atlanta. (more…)

NFL Picks 2013: Wild Card Weekend

Wild Card Weekend this season illustrates one of the flaws in the NFL’s playoff system. weekly-picks

You’ve got arguably the second or third best team in the NFC in San Francisco facing off with Green Bay. But the 12-4 team has to go to Lambeau Field as a visitor to the 8-7-1 Packers.

None of the Zoneblitz pickers, however, think it’s going to make much difference. The 49ers have beaten Green Bay soundly three consecutive times. Despite the return of Aaron Rodgers and Randall Cobb, it seems Tony, Anthony and I all think the wild card team in this case has a pretty good shot to win.

San Francisco isn’t the only road team seen as a favorite by our pickers. Kansas City is given the nod by two of the three. What road team do you think has the best shot to win this weekend? Check out our picks and then vote on the poll below.

Andy Tony Maggio
Saturday, January 4
Kansas City at Indianapolis Kansas City Indianapolis Kansas City
New Orleans at Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia Philadelphia
Sunday, January 5
San Diego at Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati
San Francisco at Green Bay San Francisco San Francisco San Francisco

Which road team has the best chance to win on Wild Card Weekend?

  • Kansas City Chiefs (39%, 14 Votes)
  • San Francisco 49ers (36%, 13 Votes)
  • New Orleans Saints (19%, 7 Votes)
  • San Diego Chargers (6%, 2 Votes)

Total Voters: 36

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Wrapping up 2013 bets, picks

As we ring in the new year and celebrate 2013, it seems like a fitting time to wrap up the standings for our regular season bets and picks.

We had a couple rough weeks toward the end of the season picking games, but week 17 was a solid effort all around. Tony, Anthony Maggio and I wrapped up with 13-3 weeks while Rich nailed 12 of 16. Our season totals ranged from 154 correct to 166. For what it’s worth, that would rank us toward the middle to top end of the ESPN experts, save for Ron Jaworksi, who hit 174.

It also puts us in the upper 20th percentile or so at NFLPickwatch.com, which ranks experts from a number of sites.

Here are our final pick standings: (more…)

2013’s new coaches fare pretty well in first years

It’s Black Monday. Early indications are that Mike Shanahan, Leslie Frazier and, surprisingly, first year Browns coach Rob Chudzinski are among those packing their bags and moving on.

Overall, however, the crop of new coaches in 2013 did quite well in their first seasons. Three led their teams to the playoffs and two more led near misses. And those who were leading the worst of the 2012 squads almost all gave their players and fans reason for hope.

Here’s a synopsis:

Team New coach 2013 record Old coach 2012 record
Arizona Bruce Arians 10-6 Ken Whisenhunt 5-11
Buffalo Doug Marrone 6-10 Chan Gailey 6-10
Chicago Marc Trestman 8-8 Lovie Smith 10-6
Cleveland Rob Chudzinski 4-12 Pat Shurmur 5-11
Jacksonville Gus Bradley 4-12 Mike Mularkey 2-14
Kansas City Andy Reid 11-5 Romeo Crennel 2-14
Philadelphia Chip Kelly 10-6 Andy Reid 4-12
San Diego Mike McCoy 9-7 Norv Turner 7-9

(more…)

Metrodome memories – Vikes prepare to close the building for good

I’m semi-glued this afternoon to the Minnesota-Detroit game. It’s a pretty

Photo credit: Bobak Ha'Eri via Wikipedia

Photo credit: Bobak Ha’Eri via Wikipedia

meaningless game being played by two teams who, for the most part, look like they’d just like to get on with their off-seasons.

Today’s versions of the Vikings and the Lions are pretty much playing out the string. Calvin Johnson and Adrian Peterson are sitting while Matt Asiata and … Kris Durham? … attempt to replicate their results while playing for coaches who are likely to be fired tomorrow.

This is a pretty dull affair, bringing with it a similar amount of emotion that seems to be felt among the citizenry, who don’t seem terribly broken up that this domed stadium will soon be a part of the state’s ancient history.

I’ve been a Vikings fan since 1981, though at six-years-old, my understanding back in the early days was at a bit of a lower level. Still, as I prepare to see the Vikings close down a second stadium in my lifetime, I’m surprised at how little emotion I feel about this. I actually vaguely remember being more bummed that old Metropolitan Stadium, where my Dad took me at least a couple times, was closing than I am that the Metrodome’s days are coming to an end. I have vague recollections of a Vikings/Bucs game at the Met in 1981 and even more vague memories of a Packers game that I think was a year earlier. And I remember watching the last game – a 10-6 loss to Kansas City that sent the team and the stadium out on a whimper – on television in our living room.

That said, I have been present for a number of memorable moments at the Dome. This list is not meant to be a top five all-time list – it’s just a few of my own personal favorites. (more…)

Bet the Mortgage: Week 17, 2013 NFL Best Bets

Tony had been in quite a tailspin since learning that he had miscalculated the bet results through the season’s first 12 weeks, but he got a much needed boost in week 16. He hit just two of his four bets, but one was a $1,000 hit on the Giants’ +370 moneyline win over Detroit. It didn’t bring him back to even for the season but it got that mark within reach.

Andy on the other hand suffered a number of hard luck losses. His own $500 moneyline bet missed by a point, when Dallas scored a last minute comeback against Washington. His $1,250 bet on the Denver/Houston moneyline also missed by a single point. So instead of a nice, tidy, solid profit for the week, he sunk further into the gambling abyss.

Here’s where we stand heading into the final week of the regular season. When this thing ends, we’ll have to start studying up for next year, when we have to do better than what we’ve done this ridiculously bad gambling season.

  Week 16 Season Week +/- Bankroll Season +/-
Tony 2-2 27-37 +$3,638 $9,186 – $814
Andy 1-3 24-37-3 – $1,900 $5,223 – $4,777

(more…)