It’s shaping up to be a very interesting NFL postseason in 2014-15. Heading into Week 16 action, it’s fair to say that no team has separated itself from the pack the same way the Broncos and Seahawks did a year ago, and one could make an argument that there are legitimately seven or eight teams that seem at least capable of winning the Super Bowl. This may well be the case, but when you look closely, there do appear to be four teams that have gained some separation from the rest, though not in the emphatic way we saw Denver and Seattle do so in 2013.
Specifically, the betting odds show four teams out in front. You can view the Betfair sports betting site’s updated odds (heading into Week 17) for each team in the league here, and while these are subject to change over the coming weeks, they should provide the most accurate picture to date of which teams are best positioned to win it all. At this stage, in fact, even if the odds do shift around somewhat, it looks as if the top four should remain the same. So here’s a current look at your four leading Super Bowl contenders as ordered by the odds.
Seattle Seahawks (11/4)
Many seem to be coming around to the Seahawks as legitimate favorites to defend their Super Bowl title. Following some midseason turmoil including the strange and sudden trade of Percy Harvin to the Jets and rumors of Marshawn Lynch wanting out of Seattle, the team was publicly declared to have “gotten its swag back” after a Week 12 win over Arizona. That’s not much of a football analysis in most cases, but the Seahawks seem to be so driven by passion and cohesion that it’s worth making a point of. At any rate, Seattle hasn’t lost since, and they even beat the 49ers twice (in Weeks 13 and 15) to knock them out of the playoff picture. Arguably the most balanced team in terms of offense and defense, Seattle will be a very tough opponent once again in the playoffs.
New England Patriots (3/1)
The Pats have kept everyone guessing this season, in terms of how they beat you. One week, Jonas Gray comes out of nowhere to rush for four touchdowns; another week, Shane Vereen catches two; and for a stretch, Brandon LaFell goes from Panthers castaway to Randy Moss look-alike. Yet through it all, Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski have looked like MVP candidates, and that, in reality, is what puts the Pats a small step ahead of the rest of the league. That said, however, it may be crucial for them to gain home field advantage if they want to make it to the Super Bowl. All three of the Pats’ losses this season have come on the road, so securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs would give them an even bigger edge.
Denver Broncos (4/1)
Much has been made of Peyton Manning’s declining form in recent weeks, though it’s also necessary to point out that “declining form” for Peyton Manning basically means excellent, and not superhuman, quarterback play. But this Denver team is showing it can beat anyone it meets in other ways. According to ESPN, the Broncos still rank fourth in the league in passing yards, but they also have the second-best rush defense. Frankly, given that the approach of expecting Peyton to work his magic every game failed miserably in last year’s Super Bowl, it looks as if the Broncos have diversified their game in preparation for the playoffs. They are a little less dominant than a year ago, but they may be better suited to win close games.
Green Bay Packers (9/2)
If home field advantage matters to every other team in the playoff hunt, it’s absolutely vital to the Green Bay Packers. They have four road losses but have been untouchable at Lambeau Field. The Week 13 win over New England (at Green Bay) was viewed by many as a potential Super Bowl preview, and the Packers are certainly capable of making that matchup a reality. But they’ll need to finish strong in order to secure a home playoff game, and their final game against Detroit in Green Bay will be of vital importance. With a loss in that game, it could actually be Detroit that moves up in the Super Bowl favorites conversation.
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