Tony is on fire since the playoffs started. Andy is plugging along alright as long as point spreads aren’t involved. Here are the postseason standings:

Div S/U Div Spread Postseason S/U Postseason spread
Tony 4-0 3-1 9-1 6-4
Andy 3-1 1-3 8-2 4-6

 

We’re down to three games left in the season. The Championship games this weekend have some interesting storylines. Here are our guesses:

Andy S/U Andy Spread Tony S/U Tony Spread
Buccaneers at Packers (-3.5) Packers Packers Buccaneers Buccaneers
Bills at Chiefs (-3) Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs

Tony:

The Bucs pick might be wishful thinking on my part, but Green Bay didn’t really impress me beating the Rams, and the Bucs have proven that they can beat the Packers with a 38-10 drubbing back in Week 6.

A lot has changed since then, the Bucs defense can still potentially muzzle Aaron Jones and Davante Adams, and Tom Brady is still playing like he has something to prove.

The Chiefs pick depends completely on Patrick Mahomes clearing concussion protocol, which I believe he will. Based on his acting in those State Farm commercials, I’m not sure they’d fully know anyway. The Bills are still a fun story, but if Mahomes is healthy, I just can’t see them overcoming the Chiefs potent offense.

Andy:

These match-ups fascinate me. Four of the top handful of QBs in the league match-up this weekend, underlining the importance of having a good franchise QB (take note, Rick Spielman). This is just personal taste, but I also like that all of these teams play outside.

Green Bay hasn’t done a great job of putting teams away at times this season, but that wasn’t a problem last week. No offense is hotter right now and I don’t think Tampa’s run game is strong enough to consistently attack the Packers’ weak spot on defense. If the Ronald Jones/Leonard Fournette duo can get some first downs and keep Aaron Rodgers on the bench more than on the field, that would help immensely, but ultimately, I think the Pack will just score too much.

I love the AFC match-up. Whether Buffalo can stick with Kansas City will largely come down to Josh Allen. He’s had a great season, but he doesn’t get much support from his running game and he’s now entering the biggest stage he’s been on so far. If he can match Mahomes, I think Buffalo’s defense is superior to Kansas City’s and this will be a good game. If Mahomes significantly outplays Allen, the Chiefs will win this handily. I suspect it will end up being somewhere in the middle – which will still result in a Kansas City win and a rematch of Super Bowl I.