My brother usually posts our picks and he’s got mine sitting in his inbox. He’s also made his so they’ll be posted, I’m told, sometime on Sunday.
But the picks will be delayed as he has taken a bit of a long weekend to celebrate his wedding anniversary.
We’ve been picking every game against the spread this season, though as mentioned in his post last week we both realize that’s sort of a ridiculous feature. It’d be a damn rare week where either of us ever felt strongly enough about all of the point spreads that we’d bet on every game.
So I’m going to debut yet another gambling feature to this site this week: Andy’s Best Bets.
While it might not be the most creative title I think this might be a bit more useful feature as I’ll give two or three picks and some rationale for why I like them. These would be the games I’d be most apt to bet on and thus will be a more accurate display of how I would probably do were I putting down dough in the casino.
This weeks picks (using the Caesar’s/Hilton line at www.vegas.com/gaming:
1. San Diego vs New Orleans in London: Over 45.5
I understand jet lag might come into play here, but I think the offenses will dominate Sunday at Wembley Stadium. San Diego has scored more than 24 points in five of seven games and New Orleans has scored 24 or more in six of seven, last week being the only exception. Furthermore, San Diego can’t stop the pass and New Orleans can’t stop … anything. I think this will be an exciting game with at least one if not both teams exceeding 30.
2. New York Giants (+2.5) at Pittsburgh
The Steelers offensive line has been gross this season not giving Ben Roethlisberger any time to throw. The Giants defensive line and its aggressive blitzes would have given Pittsburgh fits even if Willie Parker (re-injured knee) and Santonio Holmes (drug arrest) were going to play. Earlier in the week I thought Pittsburgh had a chance to overcome these losses but the now I think the Giants probably win straight up.
3. Cincinnati (+9.5) at Houston
I’m not going to run out and put a bunch of money on Cincinnati most of the time. But a 9.5 point spread against a Houston Texans team that before lambasting Detroit hadn’t looked that good seems too high. Houston is the better team and I expect them to win but Cincinnati has the offensive weapons to make this an aerial and high-scoring show enough to beat the spread.
Other options: I probably won’t bet on this game, but I like Indianapolis (+4) against Tennessee. Don’t get me wrong – Tennessee will run all over the Colts. But expect the Colts to come out with emotion in this game. A loss virtually eliminates them from division contention and Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne and crew are too good to go down without a fight.
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