It’s cliche, but also true – the most important thing about pre-season games isn’t winning, but getting out healthy.
Thus Sunday afternoon’s game between Green Bay and Pittsburgh can be classified as nothing but a disaster for both teams.
With a season-ending injury to Jordy Nelson‘s knee and a substantial injury to Steelers’ center Maurkice Pouncey, it had a pretty big impact on fantasy football players, too. Here are my quick thoughts on the fallout:
Packers:
The obvious spike goes to Davante Adams, a promising second-year wideout who already had been targeted by many as a late-round sleeper. While I agree that his stock rises dramatically, I’m seeing some experts saying he should jump to where Jordy Nelson was in the rankings. No thanks. If you can get him in the fifth or sixth round, sure, go ahead and jump. But we haven’t seen near enough from him to jump him into the second round just yet – not in my eyes.
The thing is, the Packers are deep. Adams will start opposite Randall Cobb, but guys like Jeff Janis and Ty Montgomery also will see their roles increase – perhaps not enough to warrant being fantasy picks but enough to say you should keep them on your “watch lists” heading into the season.
Another reason I don’t think Adams will equal Jordy’s stature is that QB Aaron Rodgers seems to be high on TE Richard Rodgers, and I suspect the young tight end may get some run as a red zone target. Already a solid sleeper, I could see a scenario where Rodgers ends up with around 50 catches on the season with eight to 10 being TDs.
I also think, with Nelson on the shelf and Cobb a significantly smaller receiver than Nelson and perhaps not capable of doing all the things Jordy does (don’t take this as a knock on Cobb – he’s a great player, he’s just a different player than Nelson), the offense will become slightly more balanced, which means a potential boost to Eddie Lacy, already the third or fourth pick in most fantasy drafts. He could bump up even a couple more spots – in part due to the injury that took place on the other side of the field…
Steelers
For Pittsburgh, the loss of Maurkice Pouncey is nothing short of a disaster. The Steelers look like a team that should put up massive points during the season, but Pouncey is a significant part of that offensive line’s improvement and success.
I’m not going to drop guys like Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown or Ben Roethlisberger dramatically. But I’d had Bell, suspension and all, ranked as my top overall RB, likely the top pick in the draft (though I prefer picking later in the first round than at the top). I now might drop him a couple notches toward the back of the top tier of backs, behind guys like Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, Marshawn Lynch and Jamaal Charles.
I don’t think I’d drop Antonio Brown much and Roethlisberger has a history of playing well behind lines that are less than spectacular. Martavis Bryant is a tiny bit of a stretch as early as he’s going – the fourth round in a lot of drafts. I’d maybe take a bit of the shine off of him, but I still like him as a sleeper. The rest of that skill player group – Markus Wheaton, Heath Miller, et al, is typically not looked at all that highly from a fantasy perspective at the moment.
In summary, injuries to key players, especially in the preseason, suck. But they present an opportunity for savvy fantasy football players to gain an advantage. You may agree or disagree with my assessment of the impact of the Nelson and Pouncey injuries – that’s fine. The important thing is to take them into account and think critically about how they will affect the real picture. Gather information from as many sources as you can and then come to your own decisions.
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