We’re rallying a bit here at Zoneblitz.com headquarters, err, well, kind of, anyway.

Tony hit two of four picks in week 11, up from zero the week before. I was right on two of my three normal picks. My upset pick (Cincinnati [+7/+250 moneyline] over Baltimore was right against the spread. But the Bengals failed to finish the straight up win. We’ve been considering the upset pick to be am upset straight up, so I guess I can’t claim a win there.

So … I suppose you should probably keep looking elsewhere if you’re really looking to make a killing at the sports book.

Nonetheless, it fills space, so we’ll keep throwing our thoughts out there. Here goes for week 12:
Andy:

Arizona (+3) at St. Louis – Before running into a surprisingly good San Francisco team last week Arizona had strung together three straight pretty good games, encompassing two wins and a close comeback loss to Baltimore. St. Louis has scored 33 points the last three weeks and is 1-4 at home this season. I think the Cardinals win this outright.

Green Bay vs Detroit: Under 55.5 – Detroit and Green Bay bring two of the4 most prolific offenses in the league to the early Thanksgiving game. And there will be plenty of scoring. But they won’t hit 55.5. Before the 49-35 aerial assault show Detroit and Carolina put on last weekend, Detroit had not played in a game that reached 55.5 points since week four against Dallas. Even the explosive Packers would only have gone over that number twice in half of its last six games. The Lions have a defensive line uniquely suited toward making life rough for Aaron Rodgers, as illustrated by the 7-3 Detroit victory in the latter stages of the 2010 season. I expect this to get close to 55.5, but miss by a couple points.

Pittsburgh (-10.5) at Kansas City – The Steelers are coming off a bye week. Before that the team went 2-1 in a tough stretch of games against Baltimore, Cincinnati and New England. Kansas City has given up 82 points in the last three games. Even worse for the Chiefs, they’ve scored 16 in the last three. Tyler Palko looked competent for a half as the Patriots took some time to figure him out. Once they did they toyed with him. Now that the Steelers have some tape? Pittsburgh wins this game comfortably.

Upset of the Week: Denver (+6.5, +240 moneyline) vs San Diego – Denver is 4-1 in its last five games. While Tim Tebow is getting a lot of publicity and credit for the success, the Broncos truly are winning with a somehow-improved defense. San Diego has lost five in a row. And frankly the Chargers just don’t look like a very good team. I think the Broncos win a close game that pretty much seals Norv Turner’s fate as a lame-duck coach.

Tony:

Green Bay (-6.5) at Detroit – I don’t want Green Bay to win, and if I have to bet on them every week from here on out to curse them, I probably will.  I also don’t think they’re nearly as good as the media wants to make them out to be—they seem to play down to opponents levels, but yet still seem to win by more than a touchdown each week.  Detroit may be the toughest test they have the rest of the year—and if Ndamukong Suh gets one of his “playing hard within the rules” hits on Aaron Rodgers it could alter the season for the Packers. In the meantime, if they’re going to keep winning, I should really try to make as much money as possible on them.

Tampa Bay (+3) at Tennessee – Not really sure why—but hopefully LaGarrette Blount, Mike Williams and Josh Freeman finally have it figured out.  It may be too late for my fantasy teams, but hopefully they can help my wallet (or pride, I guess) down the line.

Denver at San Diego: Under 42 – Denver’s defense has been winning them games.  San Diego’s offense has been losing them games. I wouldn’t bet on Tim Tebow to put up more than 14 points in any game the rest of the season, unless he sells his soul to the devil, which makes a big gap for the Chargers to make up. I hate taking the under in any game, but I’ll take a shot here.

Upset of the Week: Denver (+6, +230 money line) – In one line, I bet against Tim Tebow to score more than 14 points, and then I pick them for the upset?  I only have two upsets picked this week, and frankly at this point I’m going for the big kills, so I take the +260 on Denver over the +160 on Tampa Bay.  Plus, I think God would rather see Tebow win over a heathen like Philip Rivers*.

*I have no idea if Philip Rivers really is a heathen, but at this point, with Tebow 4-1 this season as a starter with his lack of tangible QB skills, don’t be surprised if a lot more players and coaches start thanking God at every opportunity possible.