I’m going to keep doing this even though I’m not really certain this format is really providing much of a service. I’m thinking of moving more in the direction of just searching for sleepers, which may be of more value — particularly during byes, which start this week.
But in the meantime:
Locks:
Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay vs Atlanta — Rodgers skewered Atlanta at the Georgia Dome in the playoffs last year and he appears to be taking his play up even another level this season. Fantasy owners will be pleased with another 300-yard, multi-score performance Sunday night.
Running back: Arian Foster, Houston vs Oakland — With Andre Johnson out, Foster will play an even bigger role in Houston’s offense than normal. Oakland does not stop the run well either. While the Raiders will play with emotion following the death of owner Al Davis, and may sneak out an upset, Foster will get his numbers this week.
LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia vs Buffalo and Fred Jackson, Buffalo vs Philadelphia — The way to attack both of these teams is on the ground. This could be a quick game with McCoy and Jackson grinding along to triple digit yardage and one or more scores each.
Wide receiver: Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona vs Minnesota — Antoine Winfield looks to miss the game with a neck injury, further depleting an already crappy Vikings pass defense. Fitzgerald comes back home to Minneapolis and puts on a dominant show in front of friends and family.
Sleepers:
Running back: Jackie Battle, Kansas City vs Indianapolis — The Chiefs have to run the ball and the Colts are vulnerable to the run. Kansas City coaches have come out saying Battle will get more chances starting this week. He was the guy getting carries at the end of their win over Minnesota last week. Look for him to score.
Wide receiver: Victor Cruz, New York Giants vs Seattle — If Cruz is in the right place and Mario Manningham is in the wrong place, it doesn’t matter which is number two and which is number three, Cruz is going to continue getting targets. Seattle is vulnerable and they play poorly on the road, particularly when traveling to the east coast. Eli Manning finds Cruz repeatedly Sunday.
Mike Williams, Tampa Bay vs San Francisco — The 49ers have started out as one of the league’s surprise teams in 2011 and they are playing top notch defense against the run. But they’re vulnerable through the air. Williams has been disappointing so far this season, even putting up negative yards in one start. But he has five catches in each of the last two games and I expect he’ll score his first touchdown Sunday since week one.
Busts:
Matt Schaub, Houston vs Oakland — Schaub could have a perfectly decent game today in leading the Texans to a win and not break 200 yards passing. Andre Johnson is out. Arian Foster appears to be back to something resembling full strength. The Raiders don’t defend the run well. Fantasy owners should find a different quarterback because all signs point toward Schaub being a statistically bit player in today’s game.
Wes Welker, New England vs New York Jets — It’d be awfully risky to bench Welker the way he’s playing so far. But it appears as though he is going to draw Darrelle Revis this week and Revis has shut down some of the league’s best already this season. Welker will get some catches but his yardage will be way down and I’ll be surprised if he scores.
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