We splashed our random thoughts on day one up on screen as they happened in our first-ever semi-live draft blog. Now, after a few hours of sleep, we’ll take a more nuanced look at the first night of the NFL Draft.
There were very few reaches or surprises in day one of the NFL draft.
Two QBs went in the first two picks and, as expected, they were the only ones to go. The biggest stretches may have been OL Brandon Scherff to Washington at five, OL Erick Flowers to the Giants at nine and S Damarious Randall to Green Bay at 31.
Randall I think is a reach – his Saturday production was far less than his offseason workouts. And those guys have a tendency to fall. The linemen I have less problem with – look at the Cowboys with Zack Martin last year – they aren’t sexy picks, but when there aren’t a bunch of guys out there you really like, going with an offensive lineman can be a safe, solid fallback pick.
Two teams with two picks made some interesting moves. The Browns shored up their trenches on both sides of the ball, with nose tackle Danny Shelton at 12 and OL Cameron Erving at 19. Those picks are much less sexy than the Johnny Manziel pick was last year, but both show a preference for substance.
New Orleans also intrigues me. Their first pick was Andrus Peat, the tackle from Stanford. That move leads me to believe we are going to see a different kind of offense there going forward. They’ll still pass the ball, but with Drew Brees aging a bit, Mark Ingram was re-signed, Max Unger was added in a trade that cost the Saints Jimmy Graham and C.J. Spiller was added in free agency. I think they’re going to pass less and run more. Stephone Anthony adds a great athlete on defense.
From a fantasy perspective, I think the RBs both ended up in great situations. Melvin Gordon will probably get the vast bulk of the carries in San Diego. Todd Gurley will dramatically decrease Tre Mason’s fantasy value in St. Louis, but Mason allows the Rams to let Gurley heel the ACL injury. Gurley says he’s on pace to be ready by week one – and he definitely will be the main guy when ready.
Amari Cooper steps into the top WR spot in Oakland – he’s my favorite player in the draft and I think he will make Derek Carr – who showed signs of being solid even with a weak set of wideouts in 2014 – better. Kevin White has a bit less pressure, as he has a true No. 1 partner in Alshon Jeffery. Those are the two guys who definitely step in to roles where they can contribute to fantasy rosters right away.
DeVante Parker in Miami and Nelson Agholor in Philadelphia are likely to have roles, but those teams have more guys to spread the ball around with. Breshad Perriman replaces Torrey Smith in Baltimore. He could step in right away with a role. I’m less excited about Phillip Dorsett, who goes to an Indianapolis team that already has T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson, Donte Moncrief and Duron Carter. He’ll play, but time won’t be easy to earn right away.
Other than Cleveland, where Cameron Erving provides depth at center behind Alex Mack (whose injury significantly derailed the team’s run game last year) and can fill a spot at guard or tackle in the mean time, I don’t know that any of the offensive linemen drafted will have a dramatic impact on the fantasy prospects of any individual player, at least just yet. But there’s a lot of talent still on the board and thus a lot more to come over the next couple days. I suppose you could argue that a guy like Laken Tomlinson, who went to Detroit, can only help a guy like Joique Bell, who is the poster-child for today’s running-back-by-committee approach.
So, overall, not many reaches – but there were a couple of odd landing places. A case could be made for Gurley being the top player in this draft, but this pick was a luxury the Rams probably couldn’t afford—after all, Gurley probably won’t have much room to run behind the NFL’s worst O-line. That’s probably where they should have focused their attention. Carolina also seemed to reach a bit for Thomas-Davis-clone Shaq Thompson, despite having bigger needs on the offensive line and at wide receiver. And I don’t love Indy taking a WR4 when they might just be a couple players away from truly competing for a championship. Though, you do have to give them credit for giving Andrew Luck plenty of toys to play with in that offense.
Denver traded up to end Shane Ray’s draft day slide (enter Rocky Mountain high joke here), but the other guys with major character red flags slid right out of the first round. Randy Gregory, La’el Collins and Dorial Green-Beckham are all top-10 talents, so there are clearly some bargains to be had early on Day two. It will be interesting to see where they land.
And what about the second-tier QBs? How soon might a guy like Bryce Petty or Brett Hundley come off the board? From a fantasy perspective, the second wave of RBs and WRs also will be interesting to watch, and we’ll also see the first TE come off the board in Maxx Williams.
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