DFS: Week 4, 2020

Tony titled week three’s DFS contest at Fanball.com “Tony needs a win.” He did need a win and he got it, scoring a 50-point shellacking over Andy.

Andy’s still got the lead for the season, but the gap tightened considerably.

	Week 3	Season	Total points
Andy	126.64	2-1	417.98
Tony	175.1	1-2	401.22

Andy –

QB – Aaron Rodgers vs Atlanta – $7,400 – The only thing that worries me here is that Green Bay could end up with a big enough lead early enough to mute his later-game performance, but hopefully Matt Ryan keeps things just close enough for that to not happen.

RB – Darrell Henderson vs NY Giants – $6,400 – The salaries are starting to catch up with the performance here, but Henderson

against the Giants should perform well enough to make it worthwhile. The Rams have gone to more of a ball-control offense and they should be able to run a lot against the Giants.

RB – Aaron Jones vs Atlanta – $8,200 – Whatever Rodgers doesn’t get, Jones should. Maybe they even connect on a TD through the air.

WR – Davante Adams vs Atlanta – $8,100 – Going heavy on the Packers here, if you hadn’t noticed. Adams should return from injury in a big way. Allan Lazard filled in well for a week, but Davante will regain his rightful role as the WR1.

WR — Tyreek Hill vs New England – $7,700 — Davante Adams tweeted, then deleted, that he will miss tonight’s game. There aren’t a lot of guys left who have the upside ceiling Adams would have with nearly every other healthy Packer wideout injured. But Tyreek should be good for a couple points.

WR – Sammy Watkins vs New England – $4,900 – I’m not a huge Watkins fan, but in three weeks, he’s had two games with eight or more targets. He’s averaging 13 points per week in this format. I suspect he’ll stay close to that against the Patriots, providing a solid payoff at the price. And if he can pop one into the end zone, the risk pays off immensely.

WR – DK Metcalf @ Miami – $7,400 – Metcalf is off to a really solid start to the 2020 season and it would be even better had he not let himself get stripped of a TD last week. He scored late to start making up for that blunder and I suspect that carries forward into this week.

TE – Jordan Akins vs Minnesota – $3,500 – Akins has taken over the receiving TE role in Houston. His price is still low, he’s averaging 10 points a week and he goes against a Vikings defense that is still starting a bunch of inexperienced corners and is down not just Danielle Hunter, but Anthony Barr too. If Green Bay weren’t offering up so many big money players this week, I’d have happily taken guys like Will Fuller or Brandin Cooks going up against this defense.

Flex – Robert Woods vs New York Giants – $6,900 – He not the sexiest player and he doesn’t have the biggest name out there, but he just keeps producing.

DST – Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles Chargers – $2,200 – Once again, scroll to the bottom, find the cheapest defense that isn’t likely to embarrass itself, click select.

Editor’s note: This was edited Monday at 1 p.m. CT to reflect the likelihood that Adams is out tonight.

Tony –

QB – Aaron Rodgers vs Atlanta – $7,400 – He’s playing lights out, against the team with the lowest opponent ranking in the league, and his top weapon will be back. My only fear is that they’ll run the ball exclusively in the second half … but Atlanta likes to give up leads, too.

RB – Kenyan Drake @ Carolina – $6,500 – A value play against a low ranked Carolina defense.

RB – Alvin Kamara @ Detroit – $8,500 – Kamara is averaging 37.9 FP/G. Next highest is 28.1, and that guy is on IR … and would still cost $1k more to put in my lineup.

WR – Davante Adams vs Atlanta – $8,100 – Going for the stack this week…hasn’t worked out so well in the past for me, but after a week off, Rodgers will love having his security blanket back.

WR — Tyreek Hill vs New England – $7,700 — I would normally take Ridley for $7,900, but with him and Julio both listed as Questionable, I’ll go with Hill.

WR – CeeDee Lamb vs Cleveland – $5,900 – One of these weeks he’s finally going to blow up … and at $5,900, I’ll hope like hell it’s this week.

WR/TE – Robert Woods vs NY Giants – $6,900 – The Giants are not good at defense. Well, it’s not the only thing they’re not good at … but it’s in the top three.

TE – Christopher Herndon vs Denver – $3,500 – Since we’re punting TE every week, it seems … wonder why they call him Christopher rather than Chris (which I see on all other platforms), but not Christopher Herndon IV, if they’re going to go all formal? Broncos may unintentionally be in the running with the Jets for Trevor Lawrence when this is all done … they’re starting Mark Rypien’s nephew.

Flex – Darius Slayton @ LA Rams – $5,500 – Just needed a guy to squeeze in here at $5500, and Slayton has been pretty much the one bright point for the Giants this year.

DST – Houston vs Minnesota – $2,700 – They’re cheap and they play the Vikings…