Bet the Mortgage: Week 16, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 15, 2019

Last week sucked. But there’s nothing to do but get right back on the bike and try again – which is easier when the money you are still losing was found money to begin with … even if it is just hypothetical found money.

Week W/L Week $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 1-3 -$2,650 28-25-3 +$5,015 $15,015
Tony 1-3 -$2,071 27-27-2 +$9,715 $19,715

Here we go: (more…)

Bet the Mortgage: Week 16, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 14, 2019

 

Tony hit the jackpot in week 13, going 4-0 with an aggressive slate of bets that has his bankroll at more than double the starting point. Andy lost a little ground, but still sits comfortably ahead for the year.

Week W/L Week $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 2-2 -$1,105 27-22-3 +$7,665 $17,665
Tony 4-0 +$6,810 26-24-2 +$11,786 $21,786

 

Andy: Congratulations to Tony for a monstrous week. He’s buying our mythical dinner the next time we go out. I’m thinking a nice steakhouse.

$1,750 – Kansas City at New England: Over 48.5 – Tony said in our picks segment that New England under Brady & Belichick rarely lose two in a row. I can’t disagree with that, though I’m not sure the trend continues. I do expect points to be scored in this game. The Patriots defense is good, but Kansas City doesn’t get completely shut down by anybody. And New England’s offense is less than it used to be, but the Chiefs don’t stop anyone. This total is actually down from opening at 50.5. Not sure I completely understand why.

$1,000 – Chicago (+3, +110) vs Dallas – I usually avoid Thursday games like the plague. But this one just feels weird. Sure, the Bears are one of the biggest disappointments in the league this season. But they have won three of four. Dallas is also among the league’s letdown teams this year. And the Cowboys have lost three of four. The Bears are at home. Both teams have had a week to prepare since they played on Thanksgiving … I’m just confused by this one. So … go Bears.

$1,000 – New York Jets (-5, -110) vs Miami – The Jets had the misfortune of starting Miami’s mini-3-and-2 hot streak the first week of November. And last week they became Cincinnati’s first victim, as well. New York did beat Washington, though. I really can’t see them losing to the Dolphins twice. The number came down from -7.5, which I would not have touched, but … at home, where the Jets are 3-3 both straight-up and against the spread, this feels like a semi-comfortable pick … maybe.

$1,000 – New York Giants (+380 money line) at Philadelphia – Eli Manning, at least temporarily, gets his starting job back. No pressure. All of the weapons back. The Eagles are struggling big time right now. I think Manning goes in with nothing to lose and lights up the Link.

Tony:

Mythical dinner at a mythical steak house. Hope they have kabobs (non-Zoneblitz inside joke). I missed the early games again this week…so limiting my choices a bit.

$1,500 – Pittsburgh (-2.5, -105) at Arizona – Even on the road, even with their third string QB, the Steelers are better than the Cardinals.

$1,500 – New England (-3, -105) over Kansas City – Until someone beats them at home, always bet on the Patriots.

$1,500 – Seattle (+1, -110) at LA Rams – I get a point and still have -110 payout?  Yes, please.

$500 – Jacksonville (+165 moneyline) vs LA Chargers – Chargers don’t travel east well (or stay home well), and the Jags are rolling with Gardner Minshew.

Bet the Mortgage: Week 16, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 13, 2019

This season of actually riding along well with Vegas continues. Andy and Tony combined for a sub-.500 record last week, but both hit the big ones to leave with a small profit.

  Week W/L Week $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 2-2 +$740 25-20-3 +$8,770 $18,770
Tony 1-2-1 +$380 22-24-2 +$4,976 $14,976

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 16, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2019

Damn, if there were ever a year to be spending the football season in Las Vegas …

Certainly not going to get too heady about this, but both of us are rolling in it, at least so far. Andy’s on a 6-1-1 roll since going 0-4 three weeks ago. Tony’s mostly plugging along at 2-2, but is winning more big ones than he’s losing.

Week 11 W/L Week 11 $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 3-1 +$3,631 23-18-3 $8,030 $18,030
Tony 2-2 +$787 21-22-1 +$4,596 $14,596

And for the bets…

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 16, 2019

Bet the Mortgage: Week 11, 2019

Both Andy and Tony rebounded from hideous week nine performances to show nice returns in week 10. Tony split his bets, but again proved true the mantra that you don’t have to win all your bets, just the right ones. Both nailed the Ravens’ big win, Tony with his biggest outlay of the year, and they both predicted the Seahawks’ Monday night triumph. But… can they follow it up?

Week 10 W/L Week 10 $ Season W/L Season $ Bankroll
Andy 3-0-1 +$4,133 20-17-3 +$4,399 $14,399
Tony 2-2 +3,111 19-20-1 +$3,809 $13,809

And here we go again …

Andy: (more…)