Bet the Mortgage: Week 3, 2013 NFL Best Bets

Last week Tony waited until just before kickoff to make his bets. Not sure if he figured it would help his accuracy or not, but it seems like it just gave him more time to over think.weekly-bets

He again hit just one of four bets, dropping him to 2-6 for the season. He’s down to $9,334 from our $10,000 starting point.

I’m not doing real well – another 2-2 mark put me at 4-4 for the season. But I’m at least hitting the bigger ones. I’ve added $687 to my $10,000 start.

Tony is heading off to a bachelor party. He promises to get his picks added in here at some point. But I wanted to get this posted, because I’ve got a betting interest in the Thursday night game. So, here goes week three.

UPDATE: It’s not so much improving my accuracy, it’s that after two weeks, I clearly would make more money if I didn’t make bets. (more…)

Bet the Mortgage: Week 1, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsWe’re changing things up a bit this year. We’re still going to pick four bets: three on the pointspread and then one moneyline upset every week. Each of us will start with $10,000. We’ll disperse that through all 17 weeks, scoring both the wins and losses and the dollar amounts we end up with.

If it goes as well as it did last season, we’ll both be out of money by week 11. We’ll figure that one out when we get there.

In the mean time, here are the bets:

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NFL Playoffs: Zoneblitz picks the Super Bowl

The Harbaugh Brothers, Ray Lewis and his alleged use of deer antler spray and idiot reporters asking players how ticklish they are – all the hype ends Saturday. Finally we get down to the intrigue of the game itself … and this year it’s a hugely intriguing game.

I am extremely curious to see if the Ravens, with several of their most important players aging, can keep up with the more youthful 49ers. I am curious to see whether Baltimore’s coaching staff can come up with a way to neutralize phenom quarterback Colin Kaepernick.

While the storylines off the field have been many, this year’s game on the field also is as intriguing a matchup as we’ve had in a few years. Here is how we see it playing out: (more…)

NFL Playoffs: Divisional Weekend Picks and Bets

It’s Championship Game day, which means it’s time for our picks. Last week, my picks were significantly better than in Wildcard Week, as I picked up 13 points in our format. Unfortunately, Andy picked up 13 points as well, so he still has a 24-20 lead. To keep things interesting (and to give me a shot at catching up), we’re going to up the ante with fewer games this week, and make regular picks worth 2 points, and best bets worth three.

Andy Tony
Baltimore @ New England
Straight up New England New England
Spread Baltimore +9 New England -9
Over/Under Over 51.5 Over 51.5
San Francisco @ Atlanta
Straight up San Francisco San Francisco
Spread San Francisco -4 Atlanta +4
Over/Under Over 49 Under 49
Best Bets: Baltimore @ New England: over 51.5 New England -115
San Francisco -4 San Francisco -115

Our game takes:

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NFL Playoffs: Divisional weekend picks and bets

After a week of rather lackluster Wildcard games, the NFL playoffs are back at it today with a slate of games that at least appears to be a lot more appealing. In our new pick format last week, Andy kicked my butt, going only 7-5 with his picks, but getting two best bets for 11 total points. I went 5-7, and finished with 7 points.

Andy Tony
Baltimore at Denver
straight up Denver Denver
spread Baltimore +8.5 Denver -8.5
over/under over 45 over 45
Green Bay at San Francisco
straight up San Francisco San Francisco
spread San Francisco – 3 San Francisco -3
over/under under 45 under 45
Seattle at Atlanta
straight up Seattle Atlanta
spread Seattle +2 Atlanta -2
over/under under 44.5 over 44.5
Houston at New England
straight up New England New England
spread New England -9.5 Houston +9.5
over/under over 47.5 over 47.5
Best Bets Baltimore at Denver over 45 Baltimore at Denver over 45
San Francisco -3 Green Bay at San Francisco under 45
Seattle +115 Seattle at Atlanta over 44.5
New England -9.5 Houston at New England over 47.5

Our game takes:

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