Tony and I flipped our results from week one last week – which was not good for Tony. He went big – and lost big, taking a $2,050 hit to his bankroll after hitting just one of four bets. I backed off on my bets and went 2-2, going plus-$425 for the week.
In standing with tradition, we were very mediocre in week one. Tony got off to a positive start, albeit winning barely enough for a drink and dinner at a decent Vegas restaurant.
I had a little harder time, as most of the games I thought I felt certain about ended up being less than sure things.
Here are the standings after week one.
Last week
Last Week $
Overall
Overall $
Bankroll
Tony
2-2
+$87
2-2
+$87
$10,087
Andy
1-3
-$900
1-3
-$900
$9,100
And here are our attempts at redemption in week two.
Another season, another futile attempt to upset the Vegas oddsmakers.
This is the third year in a row now where we’re starting with a mythical $10,000 bankroll. We’ll track our wins and losses throughout the year as we pick three games against the spread and one upset against the moneyline.
Last year, after a solid start, Andy tanked, losing again in the gambling to Tony, whose basic strategy involves finding 10 minutes in between meetings and throwing darts.
The last 17 weeks have flown by in a flash. It feels like just a couple weeks ago I was boarding a plane for Vegas, where my last fantasy football draft took place. But in actuality, in a week or so, I’ll be collecting the winnings – and a sweet trophy – that go along with that title.
Enough bragging – this season was actually fairly frustrating for me otherwise. Middle-of-the-road in game picks. Good start in our bets segment only to see it disintegrate big time in the season’s final third. A lackluster performance in our inaugural survivor pool. In truth, there was never a point during this season during which I felt like I truly got a grasp on what was going to happen from week to week.
Some of my colleagues fared better than me, however. And in the spirit of accountability, here’s a breakdown of how those competitions went, starting with bets. (more…)
As heavy as we hit the hypothetical books and as much as neither of us believes that breaking even in gambling is any better than a tie in a football game, neither of us has been able to do much more than tread water over the last month and change.
So, while we are far ahead of where we were last year through most of the season, we’re still both just slightly below breaking even.
I had a slightly better week 16 than Tony, winning two pretend $1,500 bets but losing my $2,000 and my upset. Tony was helped by his $1,000 moneyline bet on Atlanta. Hopefully, as we both go hard this last week, we make some noise – and hopefully they are shouts of joy and not screams of pain.
It’s shaping up to be a very interesting NFL postseason in 2014-15. Heading into Week 16 action, it’s fair to say that no team has separated itself from the pack the same way the Broncos and Seahawks did a year ago, and one could make an argument that there are legitimately seven or eight teams that seem at least capable of winning the Super Bowl. This may well be the case, but when you look closely, there do appear to be four teams that have gained some separation from the rest, though not in the emphatic way we saw Denver and Seattle do so in 2013.
Specifically, the betting odds show four teams out in front. You can view the Betfair sports betting site’s updated odds (heading into Week 17) for each team in the league here, and while these are subject to change over the coming weeks, they should provide the most accurate picture to date of which teams are best positioned to win it all. At this stage, in fact, even if the odds do shift around somewhat, it looks as if the top four should remain the same. So here’s a current look at your four leading Super Bowl contenders as ordered by the odds.
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