Fantasy Football Party Mock Draft #2

Fantasy Football Party Mock Draft #2

Our second mock draft is in the books! Thanks to Ryan and all the wonderful folks at Eastlake for hosting us. The brewery, the beer, the swag—it all rocks. If you haven’t been there yet, I highly recommend it.

As for the mock draft, we had some interesting twists and turns. Harley went with the 0-4 strategy—drafting Le’Veon Bell, Josh Gordon AND Tom Brady, all of whom will miss the first four weeks of the season. I could only endorse such a move if you’re in a shallow league with a LOT of bench spots. Even then, you’d better be a smooth operator on draft day to make it work. Don’t get me wrong, I think Harley’s got a team that would be tough to beat after the first four weeks. But starting 0-4 means needing to basically run the table the rest of the way, navigating bye weeks and injuries to make the playoffs. No easy feat.

Pooch didn’t draft his first  running back until round 6, where he went on a run of Arian Foster, Chris Ivory, Giovani Bernard, and then after taking Michael Thomas in Round 9 returned to the RB well for the Cleveland backfield tandem and Christine Michael. Waiting on RB will work just fine this season considering some of the names that are falling in drafts, but this shows the risk of such a move: only Foster truly has a chance to be a legit workhorse, and if he achieves that status seems destined for injury. Personally I prefer jumping into the RB pool for guys like Latavius Murray and Jonathan Stewart, who continue to be undervalued clear No. 1 RBs behind solid offensive lines.

Dave Campbell’s go big or go home strategy was admirable (Jordan Reed in round 2, Tyler Lockett in round 5), but he got some very nice value with Murray, Melvin Gordon, and the Atlanta backfield combo of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman. Soup and I both showed the value of waiting on QBs as well, with Dave snagging Eli in the 10th, while I took Philip Rivers in the 13th.

Overall I liked where people drafted QBs, though, even the folks who didn’t wait on one. Aaron Rodgers in the 4th and Russell Wilson in the 5th were particularly shrewd, and Carson Palmer in the 9th was a steal.

Bo put together a very solid squad, with Travis Kelce in the 10th along with the aforementioned Rodgers pick standing out to me. My squad has a few injury concerns, but I mitigated it by waiting so long to take a TE, QB, K and DEF.

Noah got some great value in the 1st and 3rd rounds, and his Brees selection in the 4th was solid, but I felt like he reached a bit on Amari Cooper and DeMarco Murray, ultimately leaving him with a very risky WR corps.

Dave Handeland put together a solid squad top to bottom. Very much a let-the-draft-come-to-you team, getting value in basically every round, mitigating his risk on guys like Kelvin Benjamin and Frank Gore because of how far they fell.

Tellijohn’s squad has my favorite WR tandem among those who drafted, but this is another example I think of waiting too long on RBs. Even in a standard league, which this is, I’m not sure I could stomach Jeremy Hill, Matt Jones and Derrick Henry as my top three RBs.

Brian Hall put together a nice draft too, much like Handeland letting the draft come to him to mitigate risk on players like Demaryius Thomas (QB concerns) and Carlos Hyde (crappy team concerns). He’s too thin at that RB position in my opinion, relying on Hyde/Ryan Mathews to be his RB2, but overall he built a team that can compete.

Want to get in on a mock draft with us? We’ve got three preseason events left! Check out our event page and let us know when you’d like to join us.

Brian Hall Andy Tellijohn Dave Campbell Harley Schultz Dave Handeland
QB Ben Roethlisberger 6 Cam Newton 2 Eli Manning 10 Tom Brady 7 Russell Wilson 5
RB Doug Martin 2 Jeremy Hill 5 Devonta Freeman 3 Todd Gurley 1 David Johnson 1
RB Carlos Hyde 5 Matt Jones 6 Latavius Murray 4 Le’Veon Bell 2 CJ Anderson 4
WR Antonio Brown 1 Odell Beckham Jr. 1 Julio Jones 1 Jarvis Landry 4 Keenan Allen 2
WR Jordy Nelson 3 Brandon Marshall 3 Tyler Lockett 5 Golden Tate 5 Brandin Cooks 3
WR Demaryius Thomas 4 DeVante Parker 7 Larry Fitzgerald 6 Donte Moncrief 6 Kelvin Benjamin 6
TE Delanie Walker 8 Tyler Eifert 11 Jordan Reed 2 Julius Thomas 10 Greg Olsen 8
FLEX Ryan Mathews 7 Samuel Watkins 4 Melvin Gordon 7 Mark Ingram 3 Frank Gore 7
K Justin Tucker 14 Dan Bailey 14 Matt Prater 14 Steve Gostkowski 12 Blair Walsh 14
DEF Broncos 12 Chiefs 13 Seahawks 9 Rams 13 Jaguars 13
BEN Jordan Matthews 9 Michael Floyd 8 Ameer Abdullah 8 Josh Gordon 8 Sterling Shepard 9
BEN Steve Smith 10 Derrick Henry 9 Corey Coleman 11 Emmanuel Sanders 9 Danny Woodhead 10
BEN Theo Riddick 11 Charles Sims 10 Anquan Bolden 12 Blake Bortles 11 Sammie Coates 11
BEN Tavon Austin 13 Eric Ebron 12 Tevin Coleman 13 Torrey Smith 14 Kamar Aiken 12
Pooch Noah magsh 2V Bo
QB Andrew Luck 4 Drew Brees 4 Philip Rivers 13 Carson Palmer 9 Aaron Rodgers 4
RB Arian Foster 6 Adrian Peterson 1 Jamaal Charles 1 Lamar Miller 1 Ezekiel Elliot 1
RB Chris Ivory 7 Eddie Lacy 3 LeSean McCoy 3 Dion Lewis 5 Thomas Rawls 3
WR Allen Robinson 2 Amari Cooper 2 DeAndre Hopkins 2 AJ Green 2 Dez Bryant 2
WR Alshon Jeffery 3 John Brown 6 Julian Edelman 4 TY Hilton 3 Eric Decker 5
WR Doug Baldwin 5 Allen Hurns 7 Jeremy Maclin 6 Randall Cobb 6 Stefon Diggs 7
TE Rob Gronkowski 1 Gary Barnidge 10 Zach Ertz 12 Coby Fleener 8 Travis Kelce 10
FLEX Michael Thomas 9 DeMarco Murray 5 Jonathan Stewart 5 Mike Evans 4 DeAngelo Williams 6
K Graham Gano 14 Adam Vinatieri 13 Brandon McManus 14 Chandler Catanzaro 11 Steven Hauschka 13
DEF Bengals 13 14 Texans D Cardinals 11 Panthers 12 Vikings D 11
BEN Giovani Bernard 8 Matt Forte 8 Jeremy Langford 7 Rashad Jennings 7 Michael Crabtree 8
BEN Duke Johnson 10 Desean Jackson 9 Marvin Jones 8 Justin Forsett 10 Bilal Powell 9
BEN Isaiah Crowell 11 Laquon Treadwell 11 Kevin White 9 Matt Stafford 13 Willie Snead 12
BEN Christine Michael 12 Travis Benjamin 12 Rishard Matthews 10 Markus Wheaton 14 Mohamed Sanu 14

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Buy or Sell: Donte Moncrief

Donte Moncriefbuying-selling
ADP: 66.5
WR:
28

Donte Moncrief headed into the 2015 season with a lot of hype and early on he came through, putting up usable fantasy numbers through six of the first seven games.

Then Andrew Luck was injured. Things didn’t spiral down the tubes or anything like that, but Moncrief got a lot more inconsistent. He finished the uneven campaign with 64 catches, 733 yards and six TDs on 105 targets, a fine second season, but short of what his owners had hoped for after the hot start.

Now Luck is healthy and the Colts are hoping to rebound from a disappointing 8-8 season. Moncrief is projected to be one of the key pieces of that puzzle, as a complement to T.Y. Hilton and a catalyst on what will have to be a pass-heavy offense.

So what will the real Donte Moncrief look like?

John Vomhof Jr.: Buy (more…)

Fact or Fantasy: Melvin Gordon

Fact or Fantasy: Melvin Gordonfact-fantasy

A year ago, some football fans were debating whether Melvin Gordon or Todd Gurley would be the better NFL rookie RB. Now, Gurley is going in the first or second round of most drafts while Gordon is languishing as RB27 at around an 8th round value, according to ESPN.

Gordon’s introduction to the NFL was a rough one. He averaged just 3.5 yards per carry and didn’t put the pigskin in the end zone in 2015. Worse yet, he frequently looked tentative in failing to do so while running behind a makeshift offensive line in San Diego.

So will having a year under his belt allow Gordon to come back strong and justify his 15th overall selection in 2015? Or was last season, in fact, the first indicator that he doesn’t have what it takes to make it as an NFL running back?

John Vomhof Jr.: Fact (more…)

Fantasy Football Party Podcast: 2016 Preseason, Week 1

Fantasy Football Party Podcast: 2016 Preseason, Week 1

Welcome to the 2016 Fantasy Football Draft Party Podcast, brought to you weekly every Thursday with insights, thoughts, and some immature humor thrown together by Anthony Maggio, Bo Mitchell and John Tuvey. This week, the guys get you caught up on injury news, position needs, and an offensive line preview segment that disects their impact on running games, and which you should target in your 2016 fantasy football drafts.

Fantasy Football Party: Mock Draft #1

Fantasy Football Party: Mock Draft #1

Our first preseason mock draft is in the books! Thanks so much to Urban Growler for hosting during the monsoon of the century on Tuesday night. Before I give my thoughts on the mock, here’s a quick rundown:

  • 10 teams, starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX, 1 K, 1 DEF. 2 bench spots.
  • Snake draft format
  • Standard (non-PPR) scoring
Phillip Jennings Alex Harley Chris R’obert
QB FAT Tony Romo – 10 Andrew Luck – 4 Russell Wilson – 5 Aaron Rodgers – 4 Drew Brees – 5
RB Adrian Peterson -1 Eddie Lacy – 3 Mark Ingram, Saints – 3 Ezekiel Elliott -1 Doug Martin – 3
RB Jonathan Stewart – 4 Carlos Hyde – 5 Jeremy Langford – 6 Le’Veon Bell – 2 Latavius Murray – 4
WR Mike Evans -2 Antonio Brown -1 Odell Beckham Jr. – 1 Amari Cooper – 3 Julio Jones -1
WR Brandon Marshall – 3 Keenan Allen – 2 Allen Robinson – 2 Larry Fitzgerald – 5 Dez Bryant – 2
WR Randall Cobb – 5 Kamar Aiken – 8 Demaryius Thomas – 4 Marvin Jones – 8 Kelvin Benjamin – 6
TE Greg Olsen – 6 Coby Fleener – 6 Delanie Walker – 9 Jimmy Graham – 9 Travis Kelce – 9
FLEX Emmanuel Sanders – 7 Rasahd Jennings – 7 Ameer Abdullah – 7 Justin Forsett – 6 Michael Crabtree – 7
K Graham Gano – 12 Dan Bailey – 12 Brandon Mcm’ANUS – 12 Blair Walsh – 11 Steven Hauschka – 11
DEF Seahawks – 11 Vikings – 11 Chiefs – 11 Bills – 12 Bengals – 12
BEN Matt Forte – 8 Josh Gordon – 9 Matt Jones – 8 Melvin Gordon – 7 DeAngelo Williams – 8
BEN Jordan Matthews – 9 Chris Ivory – 10 Sammie Coates – 10 Philip Rivers – 10 Sterling Shepard – 10
Randy Ryan 2V Bo Magsh
QB Carson Palmer – 6 Elisha Manning – 7 Ben Roethlisberger – 9 Cam Newton – 4 Tom Brady – 6
RB Todd Gurley-1 David Johnson -1 Lamar Miller -1 Thomas Rawls – 3 LeSean McCoy – 1
RB DeVonta Freeman – 2 C.J. Anderson – 5 Jeremy Hill – 6 DeMarco Murray – 5 Jamaal Charles – 2
WR TY Hilton – 3 Jordy Nelson – 2 A.J. Green – 2 DeAndre Hopkins – 2 Alshon Jeffery – 3
WR Golden Tate – 4 Brandin Cooks – 3 Jarvis Landry – 3 Tyler Lockett – 6 Julian Edelman – 4
WR Allen Hurns – 7 Sammy Watkins – 4 Doug Baldwin – 4 Stefon Diggs – 7 John Brown – 7
TE Jordan Reed – 5 Ladarius Green – 12 Eric Ebron – 12 Gronk -1 Tyler Eifert – 10
FLEX DeSean Jackson – 10 Dion Lewis – 6 Eric Decker – 5 Michael Thomas – 8 Jeremy Maclin – 5
K Chandler C. – 11 Mason Crosby – 11 Stephen Gostkowski – 10 Justin Tucker – 11 Adam Vinatieri – 11
DEF LA Rams – 12 Cardinals – 10 Panthers – 11 Texans – 12 Broncos – 12
BEN Ryan Mathews – 8 DeVante Parker – 8 Giovani Bernard – 7 Arian Foster – 9 Michael Floyd – 8
BEN Willie Snead – 9 Danny Woodhead – 9 Donte Moncrief – 8 Mohamed Sanu – 10 Blake Bortles – 9

At first blush I think my favorite team among these belongs to R’obert, though I don’t mind what Randy did, either. I like my team a lot, but there’s WAY too much risk involved. I kinda got carried away and figured what the hell, it’s a mock draft, go big or go home. There’s certainly a ton of upside with this squad, but overall probably way too much risk. I could’ve mitigated it with later round picks given larger benches so I’m not necessarily throwing a team like this out—especially since it’s a 10-team league so there’d be a deep waiver wire—but given the parameters of this mock I could’ve played things a bit safer.

Philip Jennings surprised folks off the top by taking Adrian Peterson, but I like that pick. In PPR or ½-PPR leagues I’m all for taking the top 3 WRs first, but in standard leagues I think it’s smart to take advantage of the few true bell-cow RBs out there. Wide receiver is incredibly deep this year (as are QB and TE), so while everyone is loading up there I’m all for going after elite RB talent and letting everyone else roll the dice on the committees. Some will work out, some won’t. But you’ll be set at the position, and still have plenty of solid WR options available to you.

Ryan put together a nice squad as well, though with Lewis, Green, Watkins, Nelson and Parker there’s a ton of injury concern a la my team.

What I liked about R’obert’s team is the way he was able to take advantage of the market’s current position on a couple of RBs I’m extremely high on—Doug Martin and Latavius Murray. I think both are underrated in general, so getting them in the 3rd and 4th round showed that the middle-round selection of top WRs is a fine play as well if the folks up front don’t snag that top tier of WRs right away.

Alex got some great values at RB as well, and I liked the boldness of taking Coby Fleener in the 6th round as the third TE off the board. He’s certainly got top 5 TE upside, and at that later point in the draft I like being aggressive there.

My favorite pick of Harley’s was probably Sammie Coates in the 10th. I’ve got him too low on my cheat sheet. He’ll be moving up soon.

Thanks again everyone for participating, and we hope to see you out at our next events!

Buy or Sell: Thomas Rawls

Thomas Rawlsbuying-selling
ADP: 27.2
RB: 13

Thomas Rawls started the 2015 season as an undrafted free agent RB just hoping to garner a roster spot. After Marshawn Lynch got hurt and Christine Michael was jettisoned for cluelessness, Rawls found himself in possession of one of the prime bell cow RB positions in the league.

He ran with it, too, putting up huge numbers in his seven starts. He thrived until an ankle injury ended his season early.

Does he come back in 2016 to solidify his role, now that Lynch is retired? Or does the presence of several solid cohorts and the emergence in the second half of 2015 of a stronger passing game signal that Rawls’ status as an elite back was a short one?

John Vomhof Jr.: Buy (more…)