Win a little, lose a little. Staying even is boring. But it keeps the hypothetical mobsters at bay. We both have all of our fingers, but I’m guessing we’re both getting a little bored, too.
Here are the standings:
| Week 6 W/L | Week 6 $ | Total W/L | Total $ | Bankroll | |
| Andy | 2-2 | +$54 | 10-14 | -$1,825 | $8,175 |
| Tony | 2-2 | +$659 | 11-13 | -$1,719 | $8,281 |
And here are the bets:
I think Tony’s season-opening winning streak in 2017 was longer than Andy’s was to open 2018 – though I admit, I don’t care enough to actually check. Regardless, Tony got off the schneid in week six with a 9-6 victory that pulls him within seven games of Andy.
Here are the standings:
| Week 6 | Tony 9-6 |
| Season | Andy 49-42-2 |
And here are the picks: (more…)
So, it’s been a rough beginning to the season. Bet the Mortgage has been a bit of an afterthought at times as we’ve rushed around dealing with real lives. Finally got around to doing the calculations and, yes, the results look like it’s been an afterthought.
But we’re still in the mix. There’s still time to turn this around and make these picks something you’ll want to bring to Vegas and use as your betting guide. Here’s where we are at heading into week six.
| Week 5 W/L | Week 5 $ | Total W/L | Total $ | Bankroll | |
| Andy | 2-2 | +$77 | 8-12 | -$1,879 | $8,121 |
| Tony | 2-2 | +$650 | 9-11 | -$2,378 | $7,622 |
Andy’s picks: (more…)
What a difference a year makes. Andy stretches his win streak to five weeks. Can Tony pull himself from the doldrums?
Here are the standings:
| Week 4 | Andy 8-7 |
| Season | Andy 43-33-2 |
And here are the picks:
1) Andy: Vikings over Cardinals – The tough part of the Vikings’ schedule is over. Now, let’s see if they can avoid having a letdown like they did against Buffalo.
2) Tony: Eagles over Giants – I decided to go 2nd and 3rd mainly because I need the extra game to make up ground. Or lose it even faster. The Giants blow.
3) Tony: Rams over Broncos – You could give Case Keenum back Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen and he couldn’t keep up with the Rams. Maybe if neither Cooper Kupp or Brandin Cooks come back from their concussions, but…I doubt it.
4) Andy: Packers over 49ers – CJ Beathard might not be that bad a backup but the Packers should still have their way with San Francisco.
5) Tony: Jaguars over Cowboys – Just had an interesting discussion about using Victory Points in a fantasy football league…
6) Andy: Texans over Bills – The Texans still haven’t looked quite as good offensively with Deshaun Watson as they did last year, but there were signs against Dallas that he might be connecting with Hopkins. If Houston is on, they should beat the Bills comfortably.
7) Tony: Bears over Dolphins – Remember when the Dolphins were 3-0 and finally going to take over the AFC East? Pepperidge Farm remembers… (remember back in 2015 when I used that same lame bit? Pepperidge Farm remembers…)
8) Andy: Panthers over Redskins – Who knows what Washington team will show up? Carolina should win, but every now and then the Redskins throw a great game into the mix.
9) Tony: Falcons over the Buccaneers – The Buccaneers are who we thought they were. I’m not so sure they’re going to get let off the hook, though.
10) Andy: Seahawks over Raiders – Not sure if Jon Gruden will have success turning Oakland around this year.
11) Tony: Jets over Colts – The Colts are a confusing team…I used to criticize them for continuing to draft solid skill players to prop up Peyton Manning, at the expense of their defense (and eventually their offensive line)…now they don’t draft solid skill players…but they still can’t figure out the defense or offensive line. Love that the Colts eased Andrew Luck back in over the first five weeks by putting him on pace to shatter the record for most pass attempts in a season…
12) Andy: Chiefs over Patriots – I’ve been rethinking this one a bit over the last couple days.I may regret this pick. But Kansas City looks sooooooo good right now.
13) Tony: Ravens over Titans – I’m actually a bit surprised this game slipped this far down. I literally had no idea the Titans were 3-2 until I just looked them up to mock them for this bit.
14) Andy: Browns over Chargers – The LA Chargers should win, but the Browns are starting to come around a bit. Cleveland might actually start a winning streak.
15) Tony: Steelers over Bengals – I have no idea what to think here. The Bengals have been putting up points, but still haven’t beaten anybody that I think has looked real impressive. Then again, the Steelers are 2-2-1, and they lost to a Ravens team that the Bengals beat. Maybe this really is Cincinnati’s year?
And then straight up:
| Andy | Tony T | Tony P | |
| Week 5 | 9-6 | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Total | 47-29-2 | 41-35-2 | 44-32-2 |
And the picks:
| Andy | Tony T. | Tony P. |
| Vikings | Vikings | Vikings |
| Eagles | Eagles | Eagles |
| Rams | Rams | Rams |
| Packers | Packers | Packers |
| Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Texans | Texans | Texans |
| Bears | Bears | Bears |
| Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Bucs | Falcons | Falcons |
| Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Colts | Jets | Colts |
| Chiefs | Chiefs | Chiefs |
| Ravens | Ravens | Ravens |
| Browns | Chargers | Chargers |
| Steelers | Steelers | Bengals |
Yeah, still on that “moving too fast” train, but … we’ll get it updated this week.
In the meantime:
Andy:
$600 – Denver (-1, -110) at NY Jets – Undoubtedly, this is a trap I regularly fall into. When this game opened, the Jets were favored by a point. I couldn’t figure out, even in New York, why the Broncos weren’t favored. I knew this was going to be one of my bets. Now, usually when I feel that strongly about a game when I first see it, I inevitably am wrong. As someone put it this week, “It’s almost like Vegas knows something we don’t.” But I’m still falling for it. After looking great in week one, the Jets have sucked. The Broncos aren’t great, but I think they are better than the Jets. So, they will win.
$800 – L.A. Rams at Seattle: Over 50 (-110) – This is a reasonably good-sized number, but I think the over/under on the Rams’ points alone starts somewhere around 33. Russell Wilson has a couple weapons back so that should help him some, though his offensive line is going to continue to suck. But they’ll put up enough for the game to reach the over.
$800 – L.A. Rams (-7.5, +100) at Seattle – The Seahawks, however, will not score enough points to make this a touchdown game. Even in Seattle, this will be a comfortable win for the visitor.
$500 – Cleveland (+150 money line) at Baltimore – The Browns keep coming close. The Ravens appear to be pretty solid this year, but I think Cleveland is actually on the brink of being pretty decent too. The defense is for real and the offense has some tools. I think this is the week they get in the win column for the second time.
Tony:
I head to Vegas in a few weeks…I feel that the fact that I’ve been wildly putting up huge bets without checking what I’ve actually won bodes well for my trip, right?
$1,000 – Carolina (-6.5, -105) vs NY Giants – This opened at 7, and has actually come down a bit? The Panthers have a bit of a reputation as not great out of the bye under Ron Rivera, but I believe they won at home with a relatively early bye last year, and that was against a team with playoff aspirations, not the New York Giants. I suppose it might be closer than I think, but…it shouldn’t be.
$1,000 – Arizona (+3, +110) vs San Francisco – This is a bit of a gut shot, as CJ Beathard didn’t look too bad in his season debut last week, but…he’s CJ Beathard.
$1,000 – Cleveland (+3, +105) vs Baltimore – One of these two has to hit, right? Cleveland has the defense to keep them in it, and may have started to realize what they have in Nick Chubb last week.
$500 – Miami (+230 moneyline) over Cincinnati – Yes, Miami was exposed last week by the Patriots–but remember when everyone said the Patriots were still the team to beat in the AFC? You should, it was basically less than a month ago–and in their last two games, they’ve started to show why. The Bengals…they aren’t the Patriots. I mean, they’ve had their head coach for almost as long (can you believe that Marvin Lewis is the second most tenured head coach in the NFL, just three seasons behind Bill Belichick), but one of them is still there because he wins Championships, and the other is there because…the owner isn’t sure where his rolodex is to set up interviews for a new coach? So at a +230, I’ll take a shot.
So, yeah, yawn. Another week, another win for Andy. This season continues to play out in the exact opposite way 2017 did… for what it’s worth: a sandwich and a beer, maybe.
Here are the standings:
| Week 3 | Andy 9-6 |
| Season | Andy 35-26-2 |
And here are the picks: (more…)
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I guess what I am saying Andy P is that transparency is great, just doubt that it improves the results
So what do you mean where you say transparency?
Paul I don’t know what are you trying to say
Let’s say we had a lot more transparency during class of 2025 election - would it have changed outcome?
Paul what do you mean it doesn’t improves outcome