Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2017

Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2017

by | Nov 22, 2017 | 2017 Season, NFL Gambling

Tony finally had a brutal week. He hit his upset, saving something. But his three spread and total bets went way wrong. It wiped out all but a pinch of his profits for the season. He is still playing from ahead, but only by the cost of a middle-market restaurant without drinks.

Andy didn’t do great, but he held serve. He hasn’t had to take a mythical loan to cover his bets yet.

Here are the standings.

Last week Last week $ Overall Overall $ Bankroll
Tony 1-3 -$3,825 22-20-2 +$38 $10,038
Andy 2-2 +$336 17-27 -$7,216 $2,784

And here are our Week 12 bets:

(more…)

Alternative Picks – Week 12, 2017

Alternative Picks – Week 12, 2017

by | Nov 22, 2017 | 2017 Season, NFL Picks

Andy continues to be the kiss of death for favorites. His number one pick last week, Kansas City, blew its wad to the previously hapless New York Giants in week 11. He rallied, but came up short, losing … again.

Week 11 Tony 8-6
Total Tony 94-62

There are a lot of paper mismatches this week. Andy chose to pick second, meaning two of the top three favorites should now be considered in peril this week. But hopefully you’ll be asleep from the L-tryptophan and won’t notice.

Anyway, here we go with yet another week … (more…)

Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2017

Bet the Mortgage: Week 10, 2017

by | Nov 9, 2017 | 2017 Season, NFL Gambling

Even in a week in which Andy wins his first Alternative Picks week and gets more games correct straight up than Tony, his bets remain a dumpster fire. No, a tire fire. No, a forest fire. No, probably, more accurately, a fire set in a dumpster full of tires out in the middle of a dry forest.

Andy failed to get a single bet correct, putting him in sniffing distance of the bottom of his budget. Tony’s not exactly lighting Vegas on fire, but he’s mostly putting up 2-2 weeks and he’s profiting a few hundred bucks at a time.

Here are the standings:

Last week Last week $ Overall Overall $ Bankroll
Tony 2-2 + $538 19-16-1 +$3,827 $13,827
Andy 0-4 – $3,400 13-23 – $7,232 $2,768

 

And here are our bets for week nine: (more…)

Alternative Picks – Week 12, 2017

Alternative Picks – Week 10, 2017

by | Nov 9, 2017 | 2017 Season, NFL Picks

Hey-o, Andy broke the streak. It took nine weeks, but he’s got his first win of the season (Bronx cheers arise from the cheap seats).

Can he keep it up? Or does the loss refocus Tony for the second half push?

Here are the standings:

Week 9 Andy 7-6
Total Tony 78-50

 

Tony chose to take the second and third picks. Here we go:

  1. Andy: Pittsburgh over Indianapolis – I made this pick before learning that Vontae Davis had elected to have season-ending surgery. If Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell can’t get right this week, then those talks of an all-Pennsylvania Super Bowl in Minneapolis next February are all bunk.
  2. Tony: Detroit over Cleveland – This feels like the kind of game that the Lions would lose in year’s past. As a Vikings fan, I hope it is this year–but I’m not dumb enough to pick that.
  3. Tony: Seattle over Arizona – Arizona without Carson Palmer is…not actually that much worse than Arizona with Carson Palmer. That’s not a good thing for Cardinals fans.
  4. Andy: L.A. Rams over Houston – The Texans were looking pretty good for the half-dozen weeks they had Deshaun Watson. Tom Savage is no Watson. Meanwhile, Jared Goff is starting to show people why he went first overall last season.
  5. Tony: New England over Denver – I, for one, was shocked…shocked I say…that Brock Osweiler wasn’t the cure for what’s ailing the Broncos.
  6. Andy: Carolina over Miami – This is one of those games nobody would watch if it weren’t for fantasy football. Cam isn’t playing well, but I’ll take him over Cutler.
  7. Tony: Jacksonville over LA Chargers – Definition of a no win situation for the Jaguars–a win doesn’t really prove they’re for real, a loss proves that they’ve not changed. Only if they dominate will I really start to feel comfortable moving them up in picks.
  8. Andy: Tennessee over Cincinnati – In retrospect I kind of wish I’d taken Jacksonville at six. Hope this doesn’t come back to bite me. I *think* Tennessee is starting to put it together. I *think* Cincinnati is about to start tanking. These have been hard teams to predict this season, however, so … in the end, who the hell knows.
  9. Tony: New Orleans over Buffalo – Saw a stat on Twitter this past week that Buffalo hasn’t beaten a team with winning record this season. I didn’t bother to check if that was accurate or not, because why would someone lie about that on Twitter?
  10. Andy: Minnesota over Washington – I’m a tiny bit surprised this game fell this far. Maybe it’s the Case Keenum factor – he’s been serviceable this season and the Vikings are better than the Redskins, but … historically, Case Keenum eventually reminds people that he is, still, in fact, Case Keenum.
  11. Tony: Chicago over Green Bay – Surprised the Vikings game fell?  I have picked the Vikings game zero times this season, I believe. I intend to keep it that way. This game is one of three that should be absolutely unwatchable. Let’s see if the Bears can further expose just how bad Green Bay’s coaching, defense, and…everything is without Aaron Rodgers.
  12. Andy: NY Jets over Tampa Bay – I thought heading into the season that the Bucs had a solid shot at the playoffs. I thought heading into the season that the Jets had a shot at going 0-16. I was wrong on the Jets, an undertalented team playing hard. I was wayyyyyy wrong on the Tampa, a heartless, gutless team that has quit after choking like dogs early in the season.
  13. Tony: San Francisco over NY Giants – An um-moving object meets an immoble force.  Seriously, if Roger Goodell wants to get back in some people’s graces after this debacle of a season, he could start by just cancelling this game.
  14. Andy: Dallas over Atlanta – Is Ezekiel Elliott playing?

So for those scoring at home: (more…)