by Tony & Andy | Sep 9, 2015 | 2015 season, NFL Gambling
Another season, another futile attempt to upset the Vegas oddsmakers.
This is the third year in a row now where we’re starting with a mythical $10,000 bankroll. We’ll track our wins and losses throughout the year as we pick three games against the spread and one upset against the moneyline.
Last year, after a solid start, Andy tanked, losing again in the gambling to Tony, whose basic strategy involves finding 10 minutes in between meetings and throwing darts.
Here we go.
|
Bankroll |
Season |
Andy |
$10,000 |
Even |
Tony |
$10,000 |
Even |
(more…)
by Zoneblitz Staff | Sep 9, 2015 | 2015 season, I Said, He Said, NFL Random Thoughts
Tony: Remember that year in 2012, when the Indianapolis Colts were terrible? And the next year, when the Houston Texans still managed to beat Andrew Luck to win the division? Pepperidge Farm Remembers…
Those memories might have to keep Texans fans feeling good about their team for a while. I’m not honestly sure what Titans or Jaguars fans will hold on to.
The Colts ran away with the division in 2014, even with “just” an 11-5 record. Andrew Luck surpassed Aaron Rodgers as the best quarterback in the league in many people’s eyes, with 4,761 yards and 40 touchdowns. Sure, he threw 16 picks—but with a collection of Trent Richardson, Ahmad Bradshaw and Dan Herron running the ball, I’m assuming he was often facing defenses that were playing with 11 or 12 defensive backs at a time.
And this year, he should have a running game in Frank Gore. Not to mention that his WR2 and WR3 spots have been upgraded from Reggie Wayne and Hakeem Nicks to Andre Johnson and Phillip Dorset or Donte Moncrief. Gore and Johnson may not be in their primes, but even at the beginning of the tail end of their careers, they are significant offensive threats. If you want to play with 7 defensive backs, Gore will eat that up. If you want to shut down T.Y. Hilton, that should leave Johnson in single coverage—or Dorsett, or Coby Fleener or Dwayne Allen. Pick your poison.
Next up in the division? Oy.
If you want to go just on team quarterbacks…good luck. Running backs? Even better luck.
The Texans should have the edge, especially if Arian Foster can get back healthy sooner rather than later. They also still have JJ Watt, an unknown quantity in Jadeveon Clowney, and they added Vince Wilfork, who if he’s got anything left in the tank, will make their defensive line even more stout. (more…)
by Zoneblitz Staff | Sep 8, 2015 | 2015 season, I Said, He Said, NFL Random Thoughts
Tony: The AFC North sent three of its teams to the playoffs last season, and despite all the turmoil at quarterback,
the lowly Browns even managed to finish 7-9. The Steelers won the division at 11-5, although I’m not sure I would have guessed that if you’d asked me on the street—my first thought would have probably been the Bengals, followed by the Ravens. Well, ok, my first thought would have probably been “Why the hell is this random person asking me who won the AFC North while I’m trying to enjoy this delicious Dilly Bar?” THEN I would have thought Bengals, Ravens and Steelers.
Possibly more amazing than the fact that they won the division is HOW they won the division—with offense. Ben Roethlisberger—who I’ve heard still isn’t exactly a “Student of the Game” when it comes to things like reading a defense—threw for just under 5,000 yards, with a 67% completion percentage, and 32 touchdowns—all career highs—and just 9 interceptions. It wasn’t just the passing game, though, as Le’Veon Bell tacked on 1,361 yards rushing and 854 yards receiving on 373 touches. Of course, a little preseason partying will cost him the first two games of 2015. Defensively…well, legendary defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau was basically forced out the door, only to take a job in Tennessee less than a month later.
Will they be able to retain their crown in 2015? (more…)
by Zoneblitz Staff | Sep 7, 2015 | 2015 season, NFL Picks
Finally, after a preseason that seemed to last even longer than your average crappy set of four meaningless games, we’re once again set for some real football.
I went back over the last couple years of picks this afternoon and was pleasantly surprised to remind myself that we’ve actually done pretty well in this segment over the years. In 2013, Tony and Andy tied for the top slot. In 2014, Dr. Phil filed his picks in the comments section and beat us all pretty handily, but Tony improved by five games over 2013 in finishing third behind last year’s new contributor John Vomhof Jr.
Standings for the last two seasons:
2013 |
|
Tony |
166-89-1 |
Andy |
166-89-1 |
Maggio |
157-98-1 |
Rich |
154-101-1 |
2014 |
|
Dr. Phil |
177-78-1 |
Vomhof |
174-81-1 |
Tony |
171-84-1 |
Andy |
165-90-1 |
Maggio |
156-99-1 |
After a year off, Rich returns. Dr. Phil will, I’m sure, make his intentions known soon. I hope we get a shot at avenging our defeat. In the meantime, let’s finally start talking some real football again. Here we go with our inaugural picks for the 2015 campaign:
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by Zoneblitz Staff | Sep 7, 2015 | 2015 season, I Said, He Said, NFL Random Thoughts
Andy: Denver has been dominant in the AFC West the last couple seasons, due largely to all-world performances by
Peyton Manning. I think it’s legit to question whether he’s got enough left in him to carry the Broncos on another playoff run, but I also think it’s fair to question whether the rest of the division has what it needs to overtake them.
Kansas City’s defense is solid, but Alex Smith is a caretaker who fails miserably in any kind of downfield passing game. Philip Rivers is a better QB than Smith, but there are questions on the offensive line and the defense in San Diego. And Oakland, well, they may be a little better than the Raiders of the past decade-and-a-half, but there are still too many holes for them to start seriously talking playoffs.
Tony: Given your recent history, I’m shocked you blame anything in Kansas City on anything other than Andy Reid’s incompetence as a coach—and I’ll grant you, seemingly forgetting that you have Jamaal Charles on the team isn’t a great way to endear yourselves to Chiefs fans.
The concern on Peyton Manning in Denver is valid—there was something definitely “off” with him the second half of last season. And while fantasy pundits everywhere seem to love CJ Anderson (being one of the few supposed “Bellcow” backs), I just don’t know if I buy him producing for a full season the way he did at the end of last year. (more…)
by Zoneblitz Staff | Sep 6, 2015 | 2015 season, I Said, He Said, NFL Random Thoughts
Andy: There’s no more New York Post back-of-the-sports-page worthy division in football this year than the NFC
East. The Giants lost DE Jason Pierre Paul to a July 4th fireworks mishap. Robert Griffin III thinks he’s the best QB in the NFL, while the Redskins don’t seem to think he’s the best QB on their roster. Chip Kelly is on his 22nd QB in three seasons, putting his faith this season in Sam Bradford, who has missed approximately 77 games in the last two seasons – and now he’s sparring with the media over whether DeMarco Murray was held out of the preseason opener against Indianapolis. And then there’s Dallas – what fantasyland are we living in where Jerry Jones and Co. are the least newsworthy team in the division?
Tony: Let’s not forget about the claims of racism in Philadelphia (which would seem to be completely off base—Kelly appears to just have a disdain for any players that didn’t come through Oregon). And the Redskins’ biggest news of the offseason before deciding to bench RGKnee, was either their desire to hold the folks in the D.C. area hostage for a new stadium to replace the one they built less than 20 year ago or their refusal to consider a name change.
And we’ve left out what ESPN and the other joke media seemed to still want to make the biggest story of the preseason in the NFC East: Tim Tebow and his efforts to make the Eagles as, yes, a third-string QB. I was on the New York Times website this week reading an NFL story, and TWO of the “Related” articles were about him. Newsflash, ESPN – Tebow hasn’t made an NFL roster since 2012.
And, appropriately for this division, we’re on our fourth paragraph, and we really haven’t even mentioned much of anything related to the games on the field. This is still one of the divisions that will matter the least, and of course, will be forced upon the viewing public the most. (more…)
Robert ok see you then
Robert ok see you then
Brian i could 100% see that in terms of anderson being the next senior elected by the hall of fame…
Malcolm Butler for ruining my 16th birthday Russell Wilson for throwing out his loyalties and Arthur Blank for trading Matt…
Why would you be upset with Butler, Wilson and Blank, Andy?