Bet the Mortgage: Week 3, 2015 – Best Bets

Tony and I flipped our results from week one last week – which was not good for Tony. He went big – and lost big, weekly-betstaking a $2,050 hit to his bankroll after hitting just one of four bets. I backed off on my bets and went 2-2, going plus-$425 for the week.

Here are the standings:

  Last week Last week $ Overall Overall $ Bankroll
Andy 2-2 +$425 3-5 -$475 $9,525
Tony 1-3 -$2,050 3-5 -$1,963 $8,037

Here we go again. (more…)

NFL Picks 2015: Week 3

Well, that was fun.weekly-picks

After watching some of the games go down this last weekend I will not believe anyone scored well. Here at Zoneblitz, nobody got more than half the games right.

So we move on. Fantasy Editor Anthony Maggio’s survivor pool dominance came to an end last week, but he’s still on top of the picks after two weeks. Here are the standings:

Name Week 2 Total
Maggio 8-8 20-12
Andy 8-8 18-14
Tony 7-9 16-16
Rich 7-9 15-17
Vomhof 6-10 15-17

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 2, 2015 – Best Bets

In standing with tradition, we were very mediocre in week one. Tony got off to a positive start, albeit winning barely enough for a drink and dinner at a decent Vegas restaurant.

I had a little harder time, as most of the games I thought I felt certain about ended up being less than sure things.

Here are the standings after week one.

  Last week Last Week $ Overall Overall $ Bankroll
Tony 2-2 +$87 2-2 +$87 $10,087
Andy 1-3 -$900 1-3 -$900 $9,100

And here are our attempts at redemption in week two.

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NFL Picks 2015: Week 2

Well, week one was interesting. Andrew Luck largely shut down. Tyrod Taylor looking like a future Hall of Famer. Of course – that’s what happens in the NFL.

Fantasy Editor Anthony Maggio paced the picks in week one, nailing several upsets, including both Monday nighters. The rest of us ranged between eight and 10 correct picks.

Name Week 1 Total
Maggio 12-4 12-4
Andy 10-6 10-6
Tony 9-7 9-7
Vomhof 9-7 9-7
Rich 8-8 8-8

Now we head into week two. And the games get no easier. Were week one results from teams like Philadelphia, Minnesota, San Francisco and Buffalo flukes? Or are they signs that the balance of power has or has not actually shifted for those teams? How will injuries play out? Here’s who we think wins.

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2015 NFL Playoff Preview/Predictions

Andy: So I have Indy, Denver, New England and Baltimore winning divisions in the AFC and Seattle, Green Bay, Carolina and Dallas winning in the NFC. I’ll give Arizona, Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Miami wild cards, with Marvin Lewis and Chip Kelly being two guys whose failures to make the playoffs will result in hotseats at the season’s end.

I think there are probably three teams in each conference I see as truly strong contenders for the Super Bowl, but I’ll give Indy and Seattle homefield advantages at this point, the Colts because they have clear sailing through a weak division and the Seahawks because though they are slightly flawed in some areas, including starting two converted defensive linemen on their offensive line, I think they still have the strongest defense in the NFC and you can’t beat their postseason experience from the last few years.

Tony: In the NFL, most years it seems that about half of the teams from the previous season’s playoffs don’t make it back. You’ve really gone out on a limb, predicting that a total of TWO teams from last year (Cincinnati and Detroit) won’t make it back, including a grand total of one new division winner (Baltimore in the AFC North).

Meanwhile, I have a much more respectable 5 new teams in the playoffs, with Indy, New England, Denver and Cincinnati winning the AFC divisions and Kansas City and Miami grabbing the wildcards, and Green Bay, Seattle, Dallas and New Orleans winning the NFC divisions, and Minnesota and Philadelphia grabbing wildcards.

I don’t know if I really believe all of that, but it makes me look better on paper, so I’m sticking to it for now.

Realistically, in the AFC, I’m not sure if I think anyone other than Indianapolis or New England can get to the Super Bowl, although even those teams have flaws—Indianapolis on the offensive line and defense, and New England their terrible knack for cheating at every opportunity they find. (more…)

AFC East Preview

Tony: So the New England Patriots have won the AFC East for the last 37 years straight or something like that, afc_eastother than the year that Tom Brady folded his knee in half. His replacement was Matt Cassel, who managed to salvage an 11-5 season, but it wasn’t good enough to beat the also 11-5 Miami Dolphins. This year, Cassel is back in the AFC East, although once again riding the pine—and has to be somewhat frustrated…it’s one thing backing up Brady, it’s another backing up Tyrod Taylor. Still, the Bills defense is pretty strong, they added RB Shady McCoy, TE Charles Clay and headcase/headache Percy Harvin to go with second-year WR Sammy Watkins. In fact, Taylor might be the difference between whether it’s the Bills challenging the Patriots, or the…

Andy: Dolphins? Is that what you were about to say? Yeah, I like what the Bills have done this offseason too, for the most part. But without a QB, it’s going to be hard to beat New England, even if they do miss Brady for one-fourth of the season.

Ryan Tannehill isn’t a superstar, but he’s turned into a pretty solid QB. They went out and got a deep threat in Kenny Stills – though it’s questionable as to whether Tannehill is capable of utilizing the deep downfield passing game — and a short- and medium-range weapon in TE Jordan Cameron. The addition of Ndamukong Suh on defense won’t hurt either – I know you think he’s overrated, but teamed with DE Cameron Wake, that should be a heckuva tandem. (more…)