by Andy | Mar 3, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency, 2008 Trades
It’s too early to grade teams’ free agency performances. But with many big names now off the board there are a couple clear winners and losers thus far.
Winners:
I’ve been especially impressed with the moves Cleveland has made. They had huge problems stopping the run last season so they went aggressively after two defensive tackles, picking up Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams from the NFC North in separate trades. Both of these guys have question marks. Williams is more of a pass rusher than a run stuffer. And Rogers sometimes plays as if he can’t wait to hit the post-game buffet table.
But both players are upgrades, and if the Browns can motivate Rogers, the defense should be much improved.
Mix in the addition of big-play receiver Donte Stallworth, who will complement Kellen Winslow and Braylon Edwards, and the Browns could have made themselves the team to beat in the AFC North. If Derek Anderson can duplicate his 2007 exploits this should be a fun team to watch this season.
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by Tony | Mar 3, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency
Was looking through some of the signings over the first few days of free agency, and noticed one that somehow slipped through the cracks (at least at ZoneBlitz HQ):
The Cleveland Browns signed Donte Stallworth to contract, reportedly worth $35 million over seven years, with $10 million guaranteed (although ProFootballTalk is reporting it as a five-year deal).
Compare that to the deal that Bernard Berrian got from the Vikings, reported at six-years for $42 million, with $16 million guaranteed.
So who got the better deal?
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by Tony | Mar 2, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency, Fantasy Football
The Atlanta Falcons announced Sunday that they had signed Michael Turner to a six-year deal. Terms haven’t been released yet that we’ve seen.
On the surface, I don’t know that this one make sense for anyone involved.
The Falcons get a running back that has looked great in backing up LaDanian Tomlinson. Which is good. But the Falcons already had a back who has looked pretty good in what little time I’ve seen of him playing in Jerious Norwood.
And that brings me to why I question the deal from Turner’s stand point–not only do the Falcons have Norwood, but they haven’t even used him effectively in his first two years there.
As the AP article points out, the Turner signing likely signals the end of Warrick Dunn’s time as the starter. That’s a move that should have come last year, when Norwood was out performing him every week towards the end of the year, it seemed.
Yes, I’m probably jaded because I ended up with Norwood on virtually every one of my fantasy teams last year. But I thought he showed in his rookie season that if given enough carries, he would eventually break a long one. Yet for some reason, the Falcons refused to utilize him more, even when Dunn was turning in some putrid performances.
Dunn, who has always been labeled as undersized, and proved earlier in his career that he could be a full time guy, just doesn’t appear to have it any more. He had only one 100 yard rushing game last season (27 carries for 100 yards even against San Francisco), and only 4 games in which he averaged 4.0 yards or more per carry (11 for 55 against the Panthers, 17 for 70 against the Colts, 8 for 32 against the Bucs, and 12 for 70 in the finale against the Seahawks). At the same time he had 8 games where he averaged less than 3.0 yards per carry.
Yes, the entire Falcons team was God awful last year, with their QB going to prison before the season, and a head coach that lacked the fortitude to be an NFL coach, and left for college power house Arkansas before the season even started.
And Norwood did have a couple of clunker games as well. And I did hear rumors about his work habits in training camp. But only once did he get more than 10 carries in a game, and it has always looked to me like Norwood is the kind of guy that needs carries to get something going. As it was, he gained 603 yards last year on 103 carries, a 6.0 yard per carry average. Compared to Dunn’s 720 yards on 227 carries, a 3.2 yard per carry average, for the same offense.
Yes, Turner should be a good, possibly great player. But was it a gaping hole that needed to be filled, compared to some other obvious holes the Falcons have? If early speculation that Turner and Norwood will split time in the backfield is correct, will either be as effective as they might as the full time guy? Will Turner complain about not finally being in the full spotlight, and will Norwood maybe start to complain as well? (Or has he already?)
And, of course, probably the biggest losers in this one are once again the Fantasy Football players out there, who are faced with yet another two headed RB situation, where there were at least some hopes that Turner would find his own starting role, and the Falcons would finally start to utilize Norwood in a featured role as well.
by Andy | Mar 1, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency, Fantasy Football
Here’s one for the fantasy football crowds to watch. According to the Seattle Post Intelligencer, Alge Crumpler reportedly is close to signing with the Seattle Seahawks in a move that should help not only the team but two individuals immensely.
Crumpler has for seven years put up solid numbers as one of the better rounded tight ends in the game. During the last five he’s ranged from 42 to 65 catches and between three and eight touchdowns, though he’s been hampered throughout his career by playing for a bad team with quarterbacking issues. Michael Vick, though an astounding athlete, threw passes that more closely resembled skipping rocks. And this past year, the trio of Byron Leftwich, Joey Harrington and Chris Redmon was uninspiring at best.
In joining the Seahawks Crumpler will be paired with Matt Hasselbeck, who is heading into his eighth year as the team’s starting quarterback. Hasselbeck has developed into a top 10 player at his position and has occasionally shown glimpses of superstardom. And he’s coming off arguably his best season, having fired for nearly 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns.
And he did so with a below average running game, a solid-but-not-spectacular group of wide receivers like Nate Burleson, Bobby Engram, D.J. Hackett and Deion Branch and just 41 catches from top tight ends Marcus Pollard and Will Heller.
Barring injury Crumpler will arguably become the Seahawks top pass catcher at any position and most certainly will exceed the 41 catches by himself. He’ll take pressure off the aging Bobby Engram and lessen the impact of the team’s dunderheaded trade for the overrated Deion Branch two seasons ago.
And with another major weapon at his disposal it’s not unlikely that Hasselbeck improves on his career-high TD output as well. Don’t expect a Brady-to-Moss-like jump in numbers, but definitely keep your eye on the Hasselbeck-to-Crumpler duo as a strong likely contributor both at Qwest Field and on fantasy teams everywhere.
by Andy | Feb 29, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency, 2008 Trades
Once rare, several trades have gone down on the first day of the NFL league calendar.
Green Bay Packers DT Corey Williams, the team’s franchise player, was traded to Cleveland for a second round draft pick. The move takes the Browns at least temporarily out of the first day of the 2008 NFL Draft. Williams has 14 sacks over the last two seasons and had priced himself out of the Packers budget with his play. This is an interesting move for the Browns. Certainly they needed to do something about their 30th ranked defense. And Williams is a quality player, having started 20 games and notched 14 sacks over the last two seasons. I like him better in a 4-3 defense. While he’s 6-4, 313 pounds, I’m not 100 percent sold on him being the space-clogging, double-team eating nose tackle a team needs in the 3-4 defense. But an improving Browns team is doing a nice job of collecting young, talented players and they did snag one of the top defensive linemen available on the market.
Another move that could pay dividends is the New York Jets acquisition of DT Kris Jenkins from Carolina for a couple of mid-round picks. This move makes sense as the Jets switched to a 3-4 defense and Dewayne Robertson isn’t really big enough to play the fat-boy-in-the-middle role. The question is health. If Jenkins stays healthy the Jets will have worked out a steal that should improve their sieve-like run defense.
The biggest deals so far involve teams keeping their own players. Reports put the deal DL Tommy Kelly signed at $50 million over seven years with more than $18 million upfront. While Kelly has been solid he’s also been injury prone. He’s coming off of a torn ACL. And it’s questionable to me why he is worthy of being the highest paid DT in league history.
by Tony | Feb 29, 2008 | 2008 NFL Free Agency
Less than two hours into free agency, and several signings are already being reported on ProFootballTalk:
Justin Smiley, Guard, to the Miami Dolphins for $25 million over 5-years
Kwame Harris, Tackle, to the Oakland Raiders, no details available
Jeff Faine, Center, to the Tampa Bay Buccanears, no details available, other than apparently the deal will make him the highest paid center in the league.
That’s right, the highest paid center in the league. Maybe I’ve been asleep for the last couple years, but I’ve never heard anything about Faine that makes me think he’s worth that much, even if the Bucs had an astounding $44 million in cap space.
Other deals rumored to be close include Asante Samuel to the Eagles (for at least $10 million a year, another case of over paying), Randy Moss supposedly staying with the Patriots (for what Sid Hartman’s word is worth), and one that’s way out there, Derek Anderson supposedly signing with the Panthers (although that one could just have been someone having fun with Wikipedia, which has already come down).
There are also several visits rumored to be lined up, but frankly I’m too tired to get into that at this point. All I will say is that if Bernard Berrian gets the deal he is rumored to want, I hope he’s not lining up in purple next year.
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