Bet the Mortgage: Week 8, 2020

How bad have this site’s bets been this season? Each writer went 1-2-1 this week and it was, collectively, the second best week of 2020.

Take it for what it’s worth, folks. If you take these picks and bet against them, you’re probably going to win money. ** Past performance is not indicative of future results. … Well, it kind of is, but … legally it isn’t.

Here are the standings:

So, while we believe there is no point in beating a dead horse, we’re going to continue to do so anyway.

Andy:

$1,250 – Green Bay (-7, +100) vs Minnesota – Most of the sites are at 6.5. Found one at 7 with the higher payout. I need a win here. I feel like this line should be around 9 or 10. I’m probably missing something in my hometown team’s need to “Tank for Trevor,” But I can’t see the Vikings finding a way to slow Aaron Rodgers, even coming off of a bye.

$900 – Tennessee at Cincinnati: Over 54.5 – A couple days ago I would have taken Tennessee -3.5. That number has corrected itself, going up to -6. But the point total has gone down from 56 to 54.5. The Titans will score plenty. The wild card here is whether the Bengals can keep up their end of the bargain. It might take a couple garbage time TDs, but I think they will.

$800 – Indianapolis (-3, +100) vs Detroit – Most of the week I’ve had a feeling the Lions might pull an upset in this game. I think they’re more competitive with D’Andre Swift taking on more of the run game. But the Colts are good and I’m starting to feel more comfortable that they’ve just got too much firepower and better coaching enough to win this bet.

$300 – Dallas (+273 money line) at Philadelphia – Sure, the Cowboys are likely starting their third-string QB. Sure, Carson Wentz looked like he figured something out last week. This game, somehow, actually means something. The NFC East is a mess and who knows what could happen here.

Tony:

$1,000 – Kansas City (-20, -105) vs NY Jets – I mostly just want to say I put money on an NFL line at -20. Plus, the Jets are on the road, with possibly the worst coach in their history (which is saying something) against the best QB in the league. Probably has trap game if I’ve ever seen one…and I’m half tempted to throw $10 on the Jets moneyline for fun.

$750 – Tennessee (-7, -106) at Cincinnati – I’ve become more of a believer in the Titans as weeks go by…I still don’t think they can win it all, but they should handle a Bengals team that is still in that rookie QB phase of figuring out how to close games out. They might not get a shot to be that close today, though.

$1,000 – Las Vegas @ Cleveland: Over 48 (-103) – I like looking for games where Vegas sets a total, and it moves a lot–I feel like Vegas usually does a pretty good job setting the line, not always convinced that us bettors do a good job moving it. This game opened at 53.5–I don’t see Vegas getting it wrong by that much.

$500 – New England (+195 money line) at Buffalo – Not sure if we’ve ever had New England as a money line pick on this site…the Bills should win this game, given recent QB play for the Patriots, but would it shock anyone if they pulled it out?