Bet the Mortgage: Week 6, 2019

Zzzzzzzzz. A .500 week. Andy up a little, Tony down a little … Boring. But both of us now maintain a bankroll slightly larger than what it was when we started. Yay us.

And here are the bets.

Andy:

$1,500 – New England (-17, +100) vs NY Giants — New York is down most of its play makers on offense and it has a bad defense. The Patriots won’t be at full strength, but they’ll be solid enough to put a sound whoopin’ on the Giants tonight.

$1,000 – Atlanta at Arizona: Over 51.5 – If I’d been on the ball I could have gotten this game at around 46 points early in the week. But I wasn’t. And I don’t care. These are two truly bad defenses playing against some solid offensive skill talent. I’m building a lot of daily fantasy lineups around this game. So … if I don’t win this bet, I assume all my Fanduel and Fanball lineups are doing poorly too.

$1,000 – Dallas (-7, +100) at New York Jets – So, I was starting to believe in Dallas during the 3-0 start. Then they lost the first two games they played against relatively decent competition fairly handily. That’s not a good sign for the postseason. But the postseason isn’t something the Jets have to worry about. Sam Darnold’s return could make this a little bit more interesting, but I expect Dallas to take care of business in a “get right” game Sunday.

$500 – San Francisco (+145) at Los Angeles Rams – I know the 49ers are missing their tackles. This isn’t about San Francisco’s offense, though I do think they’ll still put some points on the board. This is about the 49ers defense. I am thoroughly bought in and a believer. If I had a fifth bet for the week it very well might have been the under in this game, which I don’t see hitting the 50-something point total. But San Francisco can win this game outright and, maybe, do so comfortably.

Tony:

This 2-2 each week is starting to get a bit boring, I might have to mix things up a bit to try and hit a home run.

$2,500 – Baltimore (-10.5, -105) vs Cincinnati – I’ve seen nothing that makes me think that Cincinnati can keep this one close, so I’ll start with a big bet here.

$1,500 – New Orleans (+1, +100) vs Jacksonville – I’m not sure that New Orleans is as good on the road as at home (although maybe that’s a myth from a decade ago), but the Jags just still don’t seem to have it, even with the Minshew Mustache.

$1,000 – Houston vs Kansas City: Over 55 (-110) – It seems like too obvious of a play, which is why I’m only putting a grand on it–could just as easily end up being a 16-10 yawner, given the speculation of a shootout.

$750 – Philadelphia (+150 money line) at Minnesota – There are basically no money line games that look great to me this week — maybe Arizona at +115, but what’s the point in that — so I’ll grab the Eagles, so at least I can have a small victory if the Vikings go out and choke away another one.