Bet the Mortgage: Week 6, 2015 – Best Bets

Well, neither of us is going to make a living gambling on football anytime soon, but … one of us keeps going slowly in the right direction while the other one keeps swirling in the drain.

Tony keeps inching upward and, despite just a 10-10 record, he’s hit enough of the right bets to be approaching a 20 percent return on his bankroll. Andy is … taking on water after another 1-3 week.

Here’s where we stand.

No sense wallowing, however. After all, it’s a mythical bankroll. So, as always, here we go again.

Tony

Filing bets from my undisclosed location, with no idea what my bankroll is—which, actually makes it a little more like my trips to Vegas sports books.

$750 – Denver (-4, -110) at Cleveland – It’s starting to get more comfortable to say that it isn’t Peyton Manning that’s going to cover, but the Bronco defense that will get this done. If anything, I like the under here in a 17-3 game that isn’t really that close.

$500 – Atlanta (-3.5, Even) at New Orleans – I wouldn’t have pegged this one early in the season, but Atlanta appears to be the real deal, even though I wouldn’t say they’ve beaten anyone yet. Fortunately for them, I don’t see anyone coming up on their schedule…unless a couple of teams start to figure things out, the Falcons may have the easiest schedule in the NFL.

$750 – New England at Indianapolis: Over 54.5 (-110) – Bill Belichick and Tom Brady get a chance for payback for the team they likely feel is responsible for Inflategate. I could see Belichick calling for a two point conversion up 53-0 with 0:17 left in the game.

$250 – Kansas City (+175 moneyline) at Minnesota – I generally won’t include bets on Viking games from either side, but this week this is the only upset I remember picking. Minnesota hasn’t come out of bye weeks well lately for whatever reason, and while the Chiefs lost Jamaal Charles, I could see them regrouping and putting some things together. I certainly hope not, but could see it.

Andy

$1,500 – New England (-10, +105) at Indianapolis – This bet alone probably gives the Colts hope, but I would be stunned if this didn’t happen. Shocked. As in I might have to give up following football and take up soccer or rugby if it doesn’t. I expect DeflateGate revenge to be in play here. A 50 point spread would not at all shock me.

$500 – Miami (Pick ‘em, +105) at Tennessee – Early in the season we all thought the Dolphins would have a pretty good team. They haven’t so far. But they might starting here. They’ve got a new coach and, reports are, a new attitude. Changing things up was a good call here. There is still a lot of talent on this Miami team. Look for Lamar Miller to re-emerge and maybe even for rookie WR Davante Parker to make an appearance. Dolphins win straight up.

$500 – New York Giants at Philadelphia: Over 49 (-110) – Neither defense has done much this season. Eli Manning has been relatively hot for the most part. Sam Bradford is showing signs of knocking off the rust.

$400 – New York Giants (+175 moneyline) at Philadelphia – I don’t quite get this one. Philadelphia showed some signs last week of turning things around a bit, but they’ve downright sucked most of the season. The Giants are 3-2, but could be 5-0, if not for a couple of late game bed crappings. I don’t think the Giants are that great, but of all the teams in the NFC East, they’ve so far looked the best. Philly will probably win, but I’ll take a shot at the +175. Why not?