Our picks are off to a typically terrible start. … Or at least I assume that’s true. We’ll get to that point asap. In the meantime, here are our picks for the week.
Andy
$1,000 – Philadelphia (-7, -110) vs Indianapolis – This will probably be wrong. Carson Wentz will be rusty in his comeback and the Eagles will miss Jay Ajayi. But I’m going with Philly riding the emotions of his return and Corey Clement showing he’s the best RB on the team. Oh, and the Colts aren’t that good.
$600 – Denver (+6, -110) at Baltimore – I do think the Ravens win this game, but I’m not really sure they are a touchdown better than Denver. I’ll take this in a Maryland minute.
$500 – New Orleans at Atlanta (Under 53.5) – This almost always feels like one of those games where the over makes sense, but eight of the last 11 times these teams have played, it’s gone under the number. Of course, that means nothing, but my bets are typically terrible, so my logic might as well be too.
Upset of the week: $500 – Cincinnati (+130 money line) at Carolina – Andy Dalton typically plays better on the road than at home and the Panthers are missing most of their offensive line. The Bengals might actually not be that bad this year, too. This wouldn’t be a huge upset, but there are enough mismatches this week that I wouldn’t touch with a 10-foot pole that this is as good as I want to do.
Tony
$1,000 – Miami (-3, +100) over Oakland – I can’t believe I’m trusting Miami here…well, let’s be fair–I’m not. I’m trusting the Raiders, who generally don’t seem to travel east well anyway, to live up to my predictions for Jon Gruden’s return season. Don’t expect a lot of bets on the Raiders, even with points this season.
$1,000 – Kansas City (-6, -105) over San Francisco – In Kansas City, with the way the Chiefs have looked, I’m surprised this line isn’t a little higher–it opened at 4.5, and I’ll gladly take the online payout of -105 here, as even with a defense that can be leaky, unless Patrick Mahomes starts to fall back to Earth dramatically this week, they should win by at least 9.
$1,000 – Chicago (-6, -102) over Arizona – My only real hesitation here was the fact that it’s in Arizona, but the Cardinals have looked terrible so far this year–it wouldn’t shock me if they start to think about turning to Sam Rosen, given the early generally positive reviews on Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold–and that might throw this one up in the air a bit. If Khalil Mack keeps it up, they may have no choice but to turn to Rosen. And even though Mitch Trubisky hasn’t looked like a world beater, Jordan Howard and Allen Robinson should be enough to power the Bears to at least a touchdown victory on the road.
Upset of the Week: $500 – LA Chargers (+260 moneyline) at LA Rams – Yes, the Rams have looked good–but they’ve also beaten up on the Raiders and Cardinals. The Chargers are another kind of animal, four deep at WR, two deep at RB, and with a defense that appears solid enough to potentially upset the Rams, who might be looking ahead to Minnesota. I’d maybe take the Chargers and the points, but the payouts aren’t great, so I’ll take the chance at +260.
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