OK, Week 1 went about like I expected–Andy split his bets, but hit his bigger ones, and is up to $10,463.64. I choked, hitting one of my bets, and am down to $9,711.36.
Week 2 bets are below:
Andy’s picks:
$150 – Oakland (-5.5, -110) vs Jacksonville – I’m not quite ready to call myself a believer in Terrelle Pryor or the Raiders yet. But the second-year signal caller looked solid in his first season opening start last week in a near miss loss at Indy. I definitely don’t buy anything about Jacksonville at this point. The Jags are putrid this season. It’s hard to go 0-16 in the NFL and the Jags probably won’t, but this would be my early season favorite for the number one pick. The Raiders at home win this one comfortably.
$150 – Baltimore (-7, -110) vs Cleveland – The Ravens took a whuppin’ from Denver last week, but Baltimore led that game in the third quarter. They aren’t as good as the Super Bowl team yet, but they’re not as bad as that second half either. They’ll have had 10 days to stew about their performance and then they’ll take it out on the Browns, who have better talent but don’t seem to have put it together yet, based on that week one performance against Miami. Ravens get the bad taste out in a big way.
$100 – Pittsburgh at Cincinnati: Over 41 (-110) – I do think the Bengals are on the right track and I think they’ll beat the Steelers on Monday night. But I’m not sold on the defense just yet. The Steelers are hurting from the Sunday injury-athon, but Ben Roethlisberger is still capable of flinging the rock around. I see a moderately high-scoring game with both teams in the mid-20s, not a low scoring 21-20 type game that this line suggests.
$250 – Upset of the Week: Dallas (Moneyline +135) at Kansas City – I get that Kansas City has several Pro Bowl players from 2012 on its defense and that the team looked almost dominant in beating Jacksonville last week. But the Chiefs are still coming off of a 2-14 season. They’re better, but do they warrant being a home favorite against Dallas? I don’t think so. This isn’t to say that the Cowboys are flawless by any means, but they’re coming off a big win against the Giants on Sunday night and they should be the better team. This is a big test for Dallas. Win and they can start making a claim to putting some of the mediocrity of the last few years behind them. Lose and it’ll start to look like the same old team.
Tony’s bets:
$200 – Chicago (-7, +120) vs Minnesota – I’ll take the extra points on the line to get the +10 payout. I don’t think the Vikings can hang.
$200: Tennessee (+9.5, -115) vs Houston – I don’t think Tennessee can win, but the Texans seem to be the type of team that can win a lot of games, but won’t put many of them away by a big margin.
$300: New Orleans @ Tampa: Over 47 (-110) – New Orleans can put up a lot of points. And they can’t stop teams from putting up a lot. This could be over by halftime.
$250: Moneyline: Dallas (+135) at Kansas City – Andy’s explanation pretty much sums it up. Kansas City is definitely better, but they haven’t really proven anything yet. Granted, neither have the Cowboys, but at least they weren’t 2-14 last year.
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