Up a little, down a little, up a little, down a little. Andy bounced back from a brutal two week stretch to post a 4-0 mark over Thanksgiving that brought his bankroll back up over the $10,000 starting point. Tony had a rougher weekend, again putting too much faith in Detroit to help contribute to an elusive over, among other misfires.

Here are the standings:

Week 12 W/L Week 12 $ Total W/L Total $ Bankroll
Andy 4-0 +$3,295 22-25-1 +$230 $10,230
Tony 1-3 -$1,500 22-26 -$771 $9,229

 

Here are the week 13 bets:

Andy

$1,800 – New Orleans (-7, -115) at Dallas – Usually I would avoid Thursday night games. Or at least I’d avoid putting this much on them. But this is an odd case in which both teams are playing back-to-back Thursday games, so they’ve had a week of rest. The Saints are on the road, but they are simply much better than Dallas. The Cowboys are playing better of late, but their formula for winning involves running the ball and the Saints stop the run as well as anyone. If this game ends up in Dak Prescott’s hands, the Cowboys will get killed. I don’t expect this game to be close.

$1,000 – Chicago (-4, -110) at New York Giants – I’ll be riding road teams this week, I guess. This is simply another game where the talent levels are just too disparate to matter where the game is being played. Eli Manning doesn’t have much left and his offensive line is going to make it worse. The Bears defense could single-handedly win fantasy teams some playoff spots this weekend. I’m riding them myself in a couple leagues, so, Bear Down, Chicago Bears.

$800 – Kansas City at Oakland: Under 55.5 (-110) – At the beginning of the season Oakland traded Khalil Mack and then seemed flummoxed to learn they had no pass rush. Then they traded Amari Cooper, not that he’d been playing great for the Silver and Black, but … it seemed the team figured out the organization wasn’t playing for this year. Before exploding for 17 and 23 points the last two weeks, Oakland had scored 6, 3 and 3 in three of the four previous games. The Chiefs could very easily score 40 in this game and still go under.

$500 – Cleveland (+220 money line) at Houston – There aren’t a lot of upsets I like this week. And I don’t really see this happening. However, … The Browns are, believe it or not, playing good football right now. And it would not be the shocker of the year if Cleveland did pull this one off. I remain on the Texans’ bandwagon, but they aren’t going to win every game the rest of the year.

Tony

$1,500 – San Francisco (+10, -105) at Seattle – The 49ers won’t win, but i’m not convinced that the Seahawks will blow anyone out. Somehow the line has moved even further in Seattle’s favor–and  most books seem to have adjusted the payout on San Francisco to -115 to -128 (in one case) to adjust…but one book still has it at -105, so I’ll grab it.

$1,000 – LA Chargers (+3, +105) at Pittsburgh – I don’t love LA travelling east, but…maybe this is a different Chargers team? Melvin Gordon is out, but Austin Ekeler is a capable replacement–and I’m getting 3 points. I picked LA to win straight up, and they’re not going to be a great moneyline play, so what the heck.

$1,000 – LA Rams at Detroit: Over 54.5 (-110) – The O/U has actually gone up a bit from this at most books, but this one online book I see must not update their data as much, so I’ll grab it at its opening spot.

$1,000 – Cincinnati (+208 moneyline) over Denver – The Bengals actually opened at -125, and have since gone to underdog status at home. Yes, Andy Dalton is out–but Jeff Driskel hasn’t looked terrible in his mop up duty, and…it’s Andy Dalton.  And it’s Case Keenum.  Give me a healthy dose of Joe Mixon with a side of Tyler Boyd and a couple Keenum picks, and I’ll be happy.