Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2018

After hanging out around or even a little above the break-even point, things fell apart for Andy the last two weeks. He’s 1-6-1 in his last eight bets. Both Andy and Tony had rough patches in week 11, though Tony has still kept his bankroll above water. Can they rebound on Thanksgiving weekend?

Here we go again…

Andy

$800 – Houston (-6, -110) vs Tennessee – I’m officially on the Texans’ bandwagon. Houston is good. And they get a nationally televised Monday nightery in which to prove it. The Titans … who can figure this outfit out? They annihilate New England in week 10, then get annihilated by Indianapolis in week 11… here it says they’re on the wrong side again.

$1,000 – Atlanta at New Orleans: Under 61 (-110) – I’ve come to hate taking the under, but this line feels like an overreaction to the Kansas City/L.A. Monday night game from last week. These teams have good offenses, but they’re also familiar with each other. And it’s on short rest. And the Saints have a solid defense to go along with the high-powered, Drew Brees-led offense. There will be points scored, but not that many.

$1,000 – Cleveland (+3, -110) at Cincinnati – The Bengals have won seven straight in this series, but Cleveland is, simply put, playing better ball right now. Nick Chubb and Baker Mayfield will take advantage of a porous Cincy defense and the Browns will come away with a win straight up.

$500 – Buffalo (+150 money line) vs Jacksonville – What the hell happened to the Jaguars this season? I thought about going Browns here, but the Bills line was slightly higher. Buffalo is bad, but at least playing as though it cares. Jacksonville, on paper, should be able to compete with anyone, but that’s not how it has played out this season. Until they prove it, bet against them.

Tony

$1,000 – Pittsburgh (-3.5, +105) over Denver – Sure, the game is in Denver–but I’m not sure why the line has moved back towards Denver–the Steelers should walk here.

$1,000 – Buffalo (+3, +100) over Jacksonville – This is more of a gut call, but Jacksonville has been terrible this year.

$1,000 – Chicago vs Detroit: Over 43.5 (-108) – Might as well have something going on today’s games, right?

$500 – Arizona (+500 moneyline) over San Diego – I don’t really thing the Cardinals win here (I picked San Diego first over all in our Alternate Picks), but I’ll hedge my bets and take a chance against a Chargers team that historically has played to the level of their competition.