Bet the Mortgage: Week 10, 2018

So … oops. This was supposed to go up Friday. Never quite got there – disappointing, because week nine was actually a good one and I was looking forward to bragging rights. Here are the standings:

And here are … here were the bets. I guess you’re going to have to take our word for it…

Andy:

$800 – Cleveland (+6, -110) vs Atlanta – The Browns, despite a 2-6 record, are actually 5-4 against the spread. They seemed to start to figure things out in the second half of last week’s game. And it’s not like Atlanta’s defense is clicking on all cylinders this season. Cleveland will keep this close and might win straight up.

$800 – Jacksonville (+3, -115) at Indianapolis – I know the Jaguars have been a disappointment this season. And I know Andrew Luck has been hot in recent weeks. Sooner or later the Jags are going to figure it out. The defense is too good and I still believe the team overall is better than Indianapolis.

$800 – LA Rams (-9.5, -110 ) vs Seattle – Sure, the Seahawks have won four of six, including their last three on the road. Those wins came against Oakland, Detroit and Arizona. This week they have the angry Rams. LA only won in Seattle by two points, but they’re coming off a tough loss and realize they now need to win in order to keep pace with New Orleans for home-field advantage. I think the defense takes a step up in this game and the Rams win handily.

$300 – Arizona (+1,200 money line) at Kansas City – No, it’s not that I think this is going to happen. But this is a college football line, not a pro football one. You almost never see four-figure money lines in the NFL. So, I’ll ride it. If I lose, I’m not out much. But if I win, it’s a significant boost to my budget.

Tony

$1,000 – New England (-7, +110) over Tennessee – A positive payout on a single touchdown spread for the Pats? The Titans are better than I expected, but I don’t think they are going to be able to score more than maybe 14 on the Pats and, even as a Belichick protégé, Vrabel’s Titans aren’t going to keep the Pats under 24.

$1,000 – LA Chargers (-11, +108) over Oakland – Chargers have a road game in California (which they play at least 8 of per year) against a team that has got to be dangerously close to all out revolt against their head coach.

$1,000 – Arizona vs Kansas City: Over 49.5 (-110) – If I were to pick an underbuster this week, I would have picked the Chiefs before I picked the Steelers—but there’s a chance that there’s two underbusters in the same week.

$500 – Cleveland (money line: +230) over Atlanta – There’s a decent number of interesting money line bets this week, in the +200 to +300 range for payouts—I’m going to grab Cleveland because they’re at home, the Falcons are an up and down team, and…maybe week 2 under the interim regime will improve things some heading into the bye.