Bet the Mortgage: Week 9, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsWhenever we go to Vegas during the football season, Andy likes to get out there by Thursday afternoon. He likes to make sure he can get at least one bet in on whatever game is happening that night. He likes to get his losing started early.

This week is no different, except we’re not really in Vegas and our bankrolls are mythical–he’s gotta have that Thursday night bet, so I can’t wait until Sunday morning to post this.

Last week, he actually didn’t suck that bad–he hit half of his bets, and he made money in the process, moving back into the black for the season.

Of course, an okay week for him just set him further behind me, as I continued my hot streak by hitting three of four, and banking almost $1,500 in the process. I’m up to a .500 record for the season on bets, but ahead by almost 35% in (imaginary) cash money.

Week 7 Season Week +/- Bankroll Season +/-
Andy 2-2 13-19 +$505 $10,387 + $387
Tony 3-1 16-16 +$1,436 $13,475 + $3,475

This week’s bets below…tell us in the comments where we (Andy) got it wrong, and where we (me) got it right…

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 8, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsLike so many real weekends in Vegas, we’re stumbling down to the sports book late on Sunday morning to actually put our bets in shortly before kickoff. Actually, it’s just me–Andy dutifully hit the sports book as soon as the plane landed, and has been sitting there with betting slips in hand since Wednesday morning, rocking back and forth like a junkie who needs a hit. My official explanation for my lateness? Waiting for the lines to settle, because I pretty much don’t like any of them. In reality?  A much less exciting excuse related to work and not actually being in Vegas. Two problems that should be easily resolved.

Last week’s betting likely had Andy thinking about taking the same trip I took a few weeks back to avoid large men in suits that might want to break legs. He did manage to hit his upset of the week, though, which meant that despite going 1-3, he only actually lost $125. Unfortunately this means he is back to playing with his own money this week.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars cost me a whopping $1 in real life, as well as my upset pick here, but my big money bet on Peyton Manning and the Broncos, combined with some faith in the Bengals led to a big week despite being 2-2.

Week 7 Season Week +/- Bankroll Season +/-
Andy 1-3 11-17 -$125 $9,882 – $118
Tony 2-2 13-15 +$1,035 $12,039 + $2,039

Now things start getting interesting…ten weeks left, and we’ve proven that this gap can grow and shrink at the drop of a hat. Presumably most teams have shown what they really are at this point, so the lines should be getting tougher. And this week has some big lines to work with as well…

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 7, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsWell, I’m back in country after dodging those suits, and based on last week, I should be debt free…for at least a week.

I nailed all but my upset pick last week, raking an impressive $1,215 for the week, which puts me in the black and in the lead for the season. That, thanks to Andy’s rough 0-4 week, that cost him $900. He’s still hanging on to a profit for the season, but I’ve had burger’s in Vegas that would put him in the red.

Week 6 Season Week +/- Bankroll Season +/-
Andy 0-4 10-14 -$900 $10,007 + $17
Tony 3-1 11-13 +$1,215 $11,004 + $1,004

This week, Andy will try to get back on track with his lengthy explanations starting tonight, while I stick with my short game thoughts on Sunday games.

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 5, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsAfter amassing a commanding lead, Andy went big in Week 4–and his losses put him back within reach for my bets in Week 5.

Andy lost $800 on the Bears, Miami and St. Louis/San Francisco, only picking up one win in the terrible Cardinals/Bucs game.

Meanshile, I plodded along at 2-2 for the week–bot lost my two bigger bets ($200 on the Bears straight up and $300 on the Bungles).

Here’s where we stand.

Week 4 Season Week +/- Bankroll +/-
Andy 1-3 7-9 -$618 $10,387 + $387
Tony 2-2 6-10 -$173 $9,618 – $382

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 4, 2013 NFL Best Bets

weekly-betsMy waiting until the last minute last weekend proved to finally put me on the profitable side of the board–I still only went 2-2 for the week, but My +350 Indianapolis over San Fran bet put me up a total of $457 for the week, to climb back to $9,791 for the season. One solid week can put me on the plus side for the season.

Andy, meanwhile, also went 2-2 for week, but missed his bigger bets ($250 on Minnesota and $300 on the Detroit/Washington over). He did make money with his Kansas City upset pick (I was as surprised that was seen as an upset as he was that Chicago’s win was surprising), and finished +$318 for the week, giving him a commanding lead of $1,214 over me with his current $11,005 bankroll.

So, in summary, here’s where we stand.

  Week 3 Season Bankroll +/-
Andy 2-2 6-6 $11,005 + $1,005
Tony 2-2 4-8 $9,791 – $209

Week 4 brings another tough slate of games, with only 3 games coming in with a line of a touchdown or more, and most falling in the 1-4 point range.

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