Bet the Mortgage: Week 12, 2013 NFL Best Bets

by Tony | Nov 21, 2013 | 2013 season, NFL Gambling

Andy just can’t win for winning. Last week, he managed to not lose a single one of his bets (hitting on two, and getting the first two pushes recorded for our bets this season), and netted an impressive $1,913 in profit.

Good for his balance, but not good enough compared to my week, despite me only hitting .500 again. I hit the first four digit bet of the season with Philly, and tacked on another $1,500 onto my total with an Even win with Oakland (turns out I should have taken them on the moneyline like Andy).

With just six weeks left in the season, things are definitely being cranked up a notch, so nothing is guaranteed for either of us–I’d still look for one of us to be broke in 3 weeks.

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 11, 2013 NFL Best Bets

by Tony | Nov 14, 2013 | 2013 season, NFL Gambling

Well, I took a shot with going big for one bet in Week 10–which promptly flopped. And, of course, since I played it relatively safe on the rest, my 2-2 finish resulted in a grand total of a $9 loss–definitely not breaking the bank this way.

Still, a $9 loss is better than dropping over a grand in smaller bites, which is what Andy pulled off with another 0-fer weekend, once again with his Thursday night massacre. I haven’t heard from him yet this week on bets, so maybe he’s finally going to keep his losing to Sunday’s.

This week, as Andy pointed out in our Week 11 picks, there are finally some great games–which can sometimes make for some tight lines. But not this week, it appears, as even the historic 9-0 vs 8-1 Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup features a line greater than 7 points–somewhat amazingly in favor of the one-loss team. Our Week 11 bets are below…

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 10, 2013 NFL Best Bets

by Tony | Nov 7, 2013 | 2013 season, NFL Gambling

I’ll admit, I started to get a little bit cocky last week. And after pointing out that Andy often likes to start his losing early, he did just that–his Thursday Cincinnati bet had me even more confident heading into Sunday. Unfortunately, while he didn’t exactly knock the cover off, my hot streak cooled, so this week he gained on me. But will his betting on Thursday night games continue? We’ve already discussed the inexplicable line on the Vikings game (when we discussed, the Vikings were 2.5 point dogs, it now ranges from a PK to 3 point dogs depending on where you go), which even has me tempted to break my rule of betting on (or against, in this case) the home team…

We’re coming into the final 7 weeks of the season, and neither of us have made life altering bets–neither of us have had to consider what we would do if we actually got down to $0 budget, but neither of us have made enough that our wives are likely to let us quit our day jobs to take sports betting up as a full-time gig.

Maybe this is the week we start to change that?

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 9, 2013 NFL Best Bets

by Tony | Oct 31, 2013 | 2013 season, NFL Gambling

Whenever we go to Vegas during the football season, Andy likes to get out there by Thursday afternoon. He likes to make sure he can get at least one bet in on whatever game is happening that night. He likes to get his losing started early.

This week is no different, except we’re not really in Vegas and our bankrolls are mythical–he’s gotta have that Thursday night bet, so I can’t wait until Sunday morning to post this.

Last week, he actually didn’t suck that bad–he hit half of his bets, and he made money in the process, moving back into the black for the season.

Of course, an okay week for him just set him further behind me, as I continued my hot streak by hitting three of four, and banking almost $1,500 in the process. I’m up to a .500 record for the season on bets, but ahead by almost 35% in (imaginary) cash money.

This week’s bets below…tell us in the comments where we (Andy) got it wrong, and where we (me) got it right…

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Bet the Mortgage: Week 8, 2013 NFL Best Bets

by Tony | Oct 27, 2013 | 2013 season, NFL Gambling

Like so many real weekends in Vegas, we’re stumbling down to the sports book late on Sunday morning to actually put our bets in shortly before kickoff. Actually, it’s just me–Andy dutifully hit the sports book as soon as the plane landed, and has been sitting there with betting slips in hand since Wednesday morning, rocking back and forth like a junkie who needs a hit. My official explanation for my lateness? Waiting for the lines to settle, because I pretty much don’t like any of them. In reality?  A much less exciting excuse related to work and not actually being in Vegas. Two problems that should be easily resolved.

Last week’s betting likely had Andy thinking about taking the same trip I took a few weeks back to avoid large men in suits that might want to break legs. He did manage to hit his upset of the week, though, which meant that despite going 1-3, he only actually lost $125. Unfortunately this means he is back to playing with his own money this week.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars cost me a whopping $1 in real life, as well as my upset pick here, but my big money bet on Peyton Manning and the Broncos, combined with some faith in the Bengals led to a big week despite being 2-2.

Now things start getting interesting…ten weeks left, and we’ve proven that this gap can grow and shrink at the drop of a hat. Presumably most teams have shown what they really are at this point, so the lines should be getting tougher. And this week has some big lines to work with as well…

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